1. Real Growth Rates of Regional GDP
Andreas Krüger
June 1997 Amsterdam Treaty

2. Content of my talk Background Activities since the 2004 WG meeting
NSIs calculating growth rates already
Eurostat estimates
Methodological issues
Orientations for future work

3. Background Demand for regional growth rates Estimates by DG REGIO
WG 2004 decision:
Eurostat to enquire
Eurostat to provide a first data set

4. Activities since 2004 WG meeting
Nov. 2004: Survey of current practice of NSIs
Jan. 2005: Data collection from 9 NSIs
Feb. – April 2005: Eurostat estimates
May 2005: NC Upload of data and map

5. NSIs calculating growth rates alreadyMS
Branches
Regional
prices?
Publication? BE
120 No
Yes CZ 17 DE 60 ES 24
Yes (A_B, F,
services) FR 36 IT 30
Yes (A_B, NL
110 PT FI
138

6. Eurostat estimates
Calculate regional structure in current prices for each group of branches
Apply this structure to national GVA values in constant prices
Result: Regional GVA values in constant prices
Calculate growth rates

7. Methodological issues
Issues: Branch detail, regional deflators
NSI calculations: taking into account national situation
Eurostat estimates: Same approach for all
Consequence:
Heterogeneous data set
Minimum requirements?

8. Orientations for future work
Data available to Eurostat is not very detailed
More NSIs should calculate themselves
Methodological improvements necessary:
Number of branches
Regional price information