1. Future Challenges for the Introduction of Nuclear Power
Ian Facer
Nuclear Power Engineering Section

2. DG General Conference 2008
“Every Member State has the right to introduce nuclear power but they have the responsibility to do it right”

3. IAEA Projections 2007 IAEA projections by 2030 (RDS-1)
High 748 GWe, includes 20 new countries
Low 473 GWe, includes 5 new countries
Most of the growth expected from existing power countries
Projections trending higher than in recent years
High degree of uncertainty
Compared to 370 GWe installed currently
IEA and US EIA both edged up in recent years; WNA and IPCC also edged up
Projections high degree of uncertainty, but general message is one of optimism

4. ASPIRATIONS

5. BACKGROUND What were we trying to achieve How has it worked
What could go wrong
How should it develop
Coordinated guidance
Avoidance of compartmentalised approach
To some extent, Milestones recognised worldwide, not as a Standard but as guidance

6. CURRENT POSITION Most Countries in Phase 1
Countries getting help form various sources
Lack of coordination
Concern over communication

7. CHALLENGES
How to build
Confidence
and
Trust

8. OPTIONS Openness Transparency Honesty
Match by suppliers respect and their responsibility for transferring technology and knowledge
Be Self-critical
Ask for help
Demonstrate how your programme will achieve objectives
Internal coordination

9. Issues to address national opinion
Siting
Bid evaluation
Regulatory radiation protection
Finance by vendors
Training by supplier

10. Issues to address: realistic
Coordinated national strategy and plan
Human resources
Regional cooperation
Self assessment
Legislation
Regulatory competence
Long term sustainability

11. Issues to address: realistic
Siting
Bid evaluation
Regulatory radiation protection
Finance by vendors
Training by supplier
Coordinated national strategy and plan
Human resources
Regional cooperation
Self assessment
Legislation
Regulatory competence
Long term sustainability

12. ASSESSMENT Evaluation Methodology Self Assessment
Reviews (INIR Missions)
Initial, progress, At Milestone 2
Response to Missions
Maintain International Confidence and Trust

13. What do we wish to achieve
Any MS that wishes is fully ready to embark on a nuclear programme
Worldwide assistance is harmonised
Confidence and trust is high

14. Thank You