1. Optimising Capacity and Competence ISMOR August 2002
Dr Craig Smith,
Head of Capability Analysis,
MBDA (UK)

2. Scope Competence and Technical Risk Capacity and Operational Risk
Capability - System of Systems
Developing the requirements and the solution
Smart Acquisition opportunities
Summary

3. Competence (1) The ability to meet a technical requirement Thresholds
Black or white, or shades of gracefully degrading grey
Capability
Options

4. Competence (2) Trade-offs between different levels of competence
Technical risk is associated with the level of competence
focus for risk reduction/ technology demonstrators
Engagement
Command
Surveillance
Mobility
Support
Survivability
Flexibility
Option 1
Option 2

5. Capacity The quantity of equipment/ men/ systems
The force mix between components of the total system
“Soft”
measured in scenarios
thresholds are assumption dependent
how much operational risk can be tolerated?
Where is the risk reduction for operational risk
exercises?
testing of tactics/ CONOPS?

6. The Total System of Systems
Support philosophy
DOCTRINE
Capability B
Capability C
Fuzzy Boundaries
CONOPS
Organisation
C4I STAR
Support & training concept
Architecture
Portfolio of complementary systems
Optimise total capability not individual systems

7. Potential elements of EIAD
Key questions
How many systems?
Overlap
Synergy
Complementarity
Co-ordination
Architecture
MSAM
GB Sensors
BMD
VSHORAD
BMC4I
Airborne Sensors
SHORAD
Fighter Aircraft

8. Competence How well do we do the task Capacity How much of it URD BoI
Competence & Capacity
Capability
Competence How well do we do the task
Capacity How much of it
URD
BoI
Bad weather performance
1000 or 2000 missiles
Range - depends on density
Requires iteration to get the trade-off right
Architecture
Platform numbers
Need to work competence and capacity together as part of the same study

10. Systems Engineering Process
Identify & Challenge Boundaries
Ensure these are Underlying Needs
Explore the Problem
Decision
Capture Requirements
Analyse
Propose Total System Options
Innovate - Cost Reduction
- Synergy
- Modularity
Broad Consideration of
Measures of Comparison

11. Developing the requirements and the solution
Complex problems require iteration
too difficult to get requirements right first time
impact can only be determined by a view of solutions
interdependence of competence and capability
need to perform trade-off studies
Allow for evolution / incremental acquisition
in the threat, and in the responding systems
balance goals with affordable steps

12. Smart Acquisition Opportunities
Partnership between MoD and Industry
Allows each analysis community to share their insights
industry to provide insight how requirements affect cost and technical risk
Dstl to provide insight into campaign issues and operational risk
Expose the high level trade-offs in capability, cost and risk

13. Summary
Competence and capacity together drive many key system requirements
Applying systems engineering to the whole problem can provide the optimised solution
Optimisation of the capability must address both capacity and competence within the same study
Do it SMART - analysts of the UK unite!