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Pepperfry Fia Consulting Alex Nicholas Rodrigo Vanessa
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Agenda Executive Summary Key Issues Recommendation Alternatives
Implementation Risks Financial
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$ Executive Summary Exponential growth of sales
2012 Pepperfry was launched Organized Process in the Indian Furniture Industry Exponential growth of sales
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Not Enough Sales Ramp up
Key Issues Losses of USD$ 37 Mi Revenue USD$ 38, 7Mi Not Enough Sales Ramp up Online sales 2%
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Market Analysis Strengths Weakness Opportunities Threats
Local Knowhow; Variety of Products; Vertical; Omnichannel P&L pressure Online White Space (2%); Franchising; Users Targeted Competitors – Ikea, FlipKart, Amazon; Economics instability Opportunities Threats
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Our recommendation 1 – Sharpen your omnichannel strategy
Exponential Growth of Sales keeping your best initiatives improving: Omnichannel strategy boosted by IT (Augmented reality, IOT); Physical Stores Expansion; Marketing Actions coordinated (Online & Offline) * Online & Offline * Proud to be Indian * Better and refined Business Analytics Acceptable Cost Ramp up Revenue Increase Capacity Shortage of Cash flow
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Alternatives 2 - Merge & Acquisition
Targeting Potential Companies to boost revenue; Faster to Access new customers Considerable Investment Hard Sinergy project
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Alternatives 3 – Sell the Business
Find a potential buyer for the business now Realize part of the investment Underpricing due the current results achieved
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Alternatives summary Evaluation Criteria
Implementation Difficult: Evaluation of budget, timeframes and changes in the current biz model and philosophy Potential Return: Evaluation of how much return can be expected from this execution Total risks exposure: Operational, environmental and market related
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Execution Plan Execute branding strategy with local celebrities and influencers – Immediately! Business Analytics to support all MKT strategies; Proud to be Indian content construction – ready within 6 months Continue with TV strategy Marketing – Immediately on Basic Infrastructure to support New Model Augmented Reality Implementation for Home Augmented Reality Implementation for Studios IT – Immediately on
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Execution Plan Bangalore Region Pune region Mumbai New Deli Hyderabad
Studio Stores Opening – 2019 to 2022 Indore Region Vizag Chennai Province Jaipur Goa Franchise Model – 2019 to 2023
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Our Detailed Path to Grow
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Potential risks involved
Increase the level of competition Due the market growth potential we will probably face some level of increased competition Impact: Moderate to High Mitigation: Focus on our differentiation strategy Market growth less than our forecasts Due the several reasons we can have this effect on ours results Impact: Moderate to High Mitigation: Our plan can support some level of variation, and also we can sell self owned stores to franchisers.
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After 5 years we didn’t reach profitability
5 years: -115 Mio
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But we still have cash Raised USD 195 Mio Norwest Venture Partners
Bertelsmarn Investments Goldman Sachs Zodius Capital State Street Global Advisors
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But we still have cash Raised USD 195 Mio Norwest Venture Partners
Funding: 195 Mio Raised USD 195 Mio Norwest Venture Partners Bertelsmarn Investments Goldman Sachs Zodius Capital State Street Global Advisors Losses: 115 Mio Capex and CWC*: 25 Mio Cash: 55 Mio
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With our plan we will reach a big top line increase
Assumption
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With our plan we will reach a big top line increase
8.5 X vs 2018
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Following this breakdown
Topline (USD Mio) 160 544 180 130 35 39 2017 Organic online Organic offline New own stores New franchisers 2023
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Following this breakdown
Topline (USD Mio) 160 544 180 2020: 35bi USD 2023*: 46bi USD 130 MKT Share: 1.2% 35 39 2017 Organic online Organic offline New own stores New franchisers 2023
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This results will drive a positive EBITDA in the next 18 months (1H 2020)
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This results will drive a positive EBITDA in the next 18 months (1H 2020)
Margin: 23%
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But if the market doesn’t grow to USD 35 Bi in 2020
25% reduction
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But if the market doesn’t grow to USD 35 Bi in 2020
25% reduction
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Then in 2023 we will have a strong financial position
Top line growth: 8.5 X Positive EBITDA in 2020 Safe Cash position – no funding required
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Should we move to an IPO?
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Should we move to an IPO? Strong business Financial results
No additional funding needed
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Bonds: 6-7% per year to boost the 2023-2028 plan
Should we move to an IPO? Strong business Financial results No additional funding needed Recommendation Bonds: 6-7% per year to boost the plan IPO in 2028
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Conclusion Marketing Actions Physical Stores, Omnichannel Strength
POSITIVE EBITDA Exponential Sales Growth Physical Stores, Omnichannel Strength Marketing Actions
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