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Asthma Distribution patterns and their relationship with the urban landscape and social conditions in Newark NJ Authors: Francisco Artigas, Leonard Beilory, Richard Holowczak, Kumar Patel Primary author affiliation: CIMIC - Rutgers University, NJ IHGC 2000 Sunday March 19, 2000
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Problem Statement Recent estimates suggest that roughly 50% of school children in the City of Newark suffer from some form of asthma. Similar urban areas across the country exhibit much lower rates. Hospital admissions (asthma related): 110 per 100,000 in Newark 46 per 100,000 in surrounding suburban/rural
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Research Objectives Build a robust spatial data-set about asthma cases in Newark. Find spatial correlation between asthma case locations and urban landscape features
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Data Sources Admission records from UMDNJ University Hospital (n = 542 and n = 624) Landsat 5 thermal images (1997) High resolution aerial photographs (1995) Geo-coded street address vector coverage of Newark Census tracts from 1990
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Overview of Data 1997 1998 Male 280 305 Female 261 329 Black 485 561
Male Female Black White 2 3 Filipino 0 1 Other 4 35 Unknown 49 34 Age 1997 Min /Max 0 / 82 Average 17 Median 8 Len.of Stay Min 1 1 Max Average 3 3.1 Median 2 2
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Analytical Tools ARC/INFO and ARCVIEW MapObjects
IDRISI Image processing software SPSS statistics software Wizsoft data mining software
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Research Approach Clean and organize asthma case data from UMDNJ University Hospital Generate X and Y coordinates from address lists for 1997 and 1998 Perform cluster analysis Intersect asthma cases with census data Spatial analysis of asthma cases with Landscape texture and features
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Assumption Asthma cases are uniformly distributed across: Clusters
Streets Landscape texture Socio-economics Asthma cases are uniformly distributed from: Emission focal points
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Cluster Analysis Method: Use K-means cluster analysis (K=5, K=10 and K=15) on X, Y coordinates Characteristics of clusters: Size (membership) of clusters Location of cluster centers Cluster migration from year to year Cluster homogeneity
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1997 data K=5 Clusters tend to align with Newark Ward boundaries
Black - cluster center H UMDNJ Hospital H
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1997 data K=15 Clusters tend to align with neighborhood boundaries
H UMDNJ Hospital H
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1998 data K=5 Clusters tend to align with Newark Ward boundaries
Black - cluster center H UMDNJ Hospital H
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1998 data K=15 Clusters tend to align with neighborhood boundaries
H UMDNJ Hospital H
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Cluster Migration ‘97 to ‘98
Rt. 280 Blue: 1997 Cluster centers Red: 1998 Cluster centers Central ward clusters tend to migrate less H UMDNJ Hospital H
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Cluster Homogeneity Compare %Race in population with %Race of cases
n/a
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Cluster Homogeneity n/a n/a
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Cluster Homogeneity We expected the number of Asthma Cases to be proportional to the Racial makeup of the clusters However, our data suggests that asthma cases among Blacks are disproportionately higher compared to the racial makeup of the clusters
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Spatial analysis Intersection of census data with asthma cases
Observation of asthma cases and urban landscape texture Asthma cases at the street level Spatial relationship between diesel fume sources and asthma cases Spatial correlation between urban heat islands (UHI) and asthma cases.
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Intersection of census tract information and asthma cases
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1997 Cases in terms of Public Assistance
Less than half on PA Half on PA More than half on PA Cluster Centers
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1998 Cases in terms of Public Assistance
Less than half on PA Half on PA More than half on PA Cluster Centers
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Landscape Texture “Expect to see more cases in high-density housing areas than in low-density housing areas”
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1997 cases in terms of population density
Low pop. density Medium pop. density High pop. density Cluster Centers
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1998 cases in terms of population density
Low pop. density Medium pop. density High pop. density Cluster Centers
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Urban Landscape Texture
High density housing South Orange Ave. Low density housing
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Urban Landscape Texture
Low density housing High density housing
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Housing Density Effect
Cluster centers which had the greatest recruitment of cases occurred in low density neighborhoods in central ward (many vacant lots)
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“Sick” Streets “All streets should exhibit a proportional number of cases”
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Sick Streets H UMDNJ Hospital H S. 11th St. 1997 Yellow 1998 Green
S. Orange Ave. Fairmount Cemetery H
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Sick Streets Manufacturing Facility 1997 Yellow 1998 Green
S. Orange Ave. Power sub-station
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South 11th Street, Newark NJ
Power Sub-station at end of S. 11th street Intersection of S. Orange Ave. and South 11th street (facing East)
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South 11th street, Newark, NJ
Abandoned housing and empty lots next to inhabited structures
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South 11th street, Newark, NJ
Abandoned lot with light manufacturing facility Adjoining multi-family dwellings (cases from ‘97 and from ‘98)
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Sick Streets An unusually high number of asthma cases congregate along specific streets We need to further investigate the impact nearby manufacturing facilities and TRI sites
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Spatial Relationship between Diesel Fumes and Asthma
Extracted addresses from digital yellow pages of trucking facilities in Newark where trucks are likely to congregate X and Y coordinates were extracted for each facility Trucking facility locations were mapped together with asthma case locations
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Diesel fume sources Asthma case
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Newark Urban Heat Islands
Landsat 5 Thermal Ground level ozone is a photo chemical reaction Greater ozone levels are expected in hotter areas of the city
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Newark Urban Heat Islands
1997 asthma cases correlated against urban heat islands
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Newark Urban Heat Islands
1998 asthma cases correlated against urban heat islands
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Newark Urban Heat Islands
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Conclusions Asthma cases tend to congregate in the central ward
Great majority of cases are: African American Less than 10 years old Under public assistance From low density neighborhoods (Social dislocation effect, Wallace et. al.)
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Conclusions (continued)
Cluster centers tend to persist in the central ward and along heavy traffic corridors Some streets in mixed industrial/residential neighborhoods have an unusually high number of asthma cases According to our data (limited number of years and from 1 hospital) we found no significant correlation between diesel fume sources or urban heat islands and asthma
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Conclusions (continued)
The evidence suggests that the external environmental conditions we studied are not strong indicators of asthma
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Future Work Continue to build asthma database for different years and from different hospitals in Newark Incorporate daily and seasonal air quality measurements from monitoring stations to the data set Map TRI sites in Newark Employ more robust statistical tools Investigate temporal relationships (seasons vs. admissions)
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End
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