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Jump Processes and Trading Volume
Siyu Zheng
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Lee Mykland Test Checks for jumps at individual observation
Test statistic: where Lee and Mykland suggest K to be between Choose to sample at 5 minute level and K=50
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CVX Jump Detection Jumps have exponential distribution, critical value = 4.60 Counted 605 Jumps in minute intervals Jumps detected .441% of time
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CVX Volume
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Test statistic and Volume
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Simple Regression OLS showed slight significance in a negative correlation between volume and test statistic. R-Square: Parameter on Volume: e-7 p-value: 0.054
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Volume lagged
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Difference in volume distribution
T-statistic: 9.156 P-value: 0.00 No Jumps Jumps median 39700 62600 mean 54858 87418 Std Dev 50446 68158
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Next Steps Adjusting for daily volatility trends
Using returns from similar times in previous days for test statistic Including relevant regressors Dummy variables for jumps Volatlity
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