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Roger Sahs, Extension Specialist

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1 Roger Sahs, Extension Specialist
Oklahoma Agricultural Land Value Update Roger Sahs, Extension Specialist OSU Department of Agricultural Economics

2 OK Land Values by Region, 2015*
Panhandle Tracts Size $/Acre $1067 % Chg West-Northwest Tracts Size $/Acre $1,622 % Chg North Central Tracts Size $/Acre $2,147 % Chg Northeast Tracts Size $/Acre $2,053 % Chg +7.5 East-Northeast Tracts Size $/Acre $2,167 % Chg State Averages Tracts ,335 Size $/Acre $1,907 % Chg Southeast Tracts Size $/Acre $1,884 % Chg Southwest Tracts Size $/Acre $1,453 % Chg South Central Tracts Size $/Acre $2,187 % Chg *Tracts >= 40 Acres and <= $6000/Acre

3 Recent Trends in Oklahoma Land Values
District 2015 One Year Change Annual Avg Annual Avg $/ac Percent Change Panhandle 1,067 25.7 10.6 17.3 West-NW 1,622 2.2 7.9 12.5 Southwest 1,453 17.6 8.0 9.4 N Central 2,147 -3.6 11.2 12.4 S Central 2,187 6.3 13.0 9.5 Northeast 2,053 7.5 8.5 5.5 East-NE 2,167 -2.5 6.2 4.9 Southeast 1,715 9.9 7.3 6.9 Cropland 2,059 4.7 10.5 14.0 Pasture 1,936 5.1 9.3 All tracts 1,907 10.0 8.7 Source:

4 Oklahoma Cropland vs Pastureland Prices*
Upward but not steady climb in values. “Boom to Bust” was over 30 years ago. Major increase in values in recent years especially cropland. Has cropland peaked? Only time will tell….. *Cropland and pasture tracts defined as having 85%+ cropland and pasture utilization, respectively. Source:

5 Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues
Average Value Tracts >= 40 Acres and <= $3000/Acre Top 10 1 Oklahoma 6 Adair 2 Rogers 7 Washington 3 Cleveland 8 Ottawa 4 Wagoner 9 Mayes 5 Delaware 10 Love Source:

6 Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues
Top 10 1 Oklahoma 6 Canadian 2 Payne 7 Rogers 3 Washington 8 Carter 4 Wagoner 9 McClain 5 Cleveland 10 Mayes Average Value Tracts >= 40 Acres and <= $6000/Acre Source:

7 Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

8 Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

9 Key land drivers looking ahead…
Commodity prices and resulting farm income Interest rate levels Financial health of current buyers

10

11 Agricultural Interest Rates in Oklahoma
Source: KC Federal Reserve Bank, August 2016

12 Debt levels are still low, however…

13 Oklahoma Farmland Values Appear to be Weakening

14

15 Other Resources Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank
Choose Ag in Economy section, then Current Survey USDA Ag Land Value Data and Reports Choose Economics and Prices Link, then Agricultural Land Values in Reports section

16 Don’t have a bad day. Stay on top of your finances and have a risk mgt
Don’t have a bad day! Stay on top of your finances and have a risk mgt. plan in place.

17 Questions?? Roger Sahs 520 Ag Hall 405/


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