1. Improvements to SAR models
Dr Øyvind Breivik
Norwegian Meteorological Institute

2. Improved wind and currents
Winds
Higher resolution – 4 km near rugged coastlines and in fjords, bays and estuaries to resolve topographic effects
Currents
Higher resolution – 1 km for fjords, bays and estuaries
HF currents and the STPS

3. 300 m resolution ocean model

4. Errors and uncertainties
Assessing the relative importance of uncertainties in wind, currents and drift properties
Ensemble winds (ECMWF 51)
Random flight – autocorrelated wind and current perturbations

5. Alternative strategies
Currents switched off for very high resolution simulations?
Inverse leeway for backtracking from debris

6. Improved taxonomy Redo older leeway categories with new field methods
Refine the taxonomy for different parts of the world – in close collaboration with RCCs

7. ECMWF 51

8. ECMWF 51