1. Risk Update Workshop Introduction
Elaine McCluskey, LBNF Project Manager
LBNF/DUNE Update Workshop
04 December 2017

2. Risk Management and our Project
Risk management is an important part of any project.
LBNF and DUNE have been engaged in serious risk management for some time.
The 2015 and 2016 workshops included several external experts and refined an existing risk register and assessment
Register was used for monte carlo analysis to calculate DOE cost and overall schedule contingency associated with those risk items for the LBNF/DUNE project
Risks are discussed periodically and actions taken as appropriate by specific groups.
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro

3. Review and update all current medium and high ranked risks
Risk Workshop Goals
Review and update all current medium and high ranked risks
Brainstorm & discuss any new or proposed risks
Prepare for updated monte carlo analysis to inform risk cost (for DOE-only) and schedule contingency calculations
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro

4. A few reminders from prior workshops - Objectives
A workshop setting provides the opportunity to
Bring together the projects’ leadership to focus on risks.
Dialog and exchange ideas, not just present and review.
Ensure that all known risk threats and opportunities are appropriately characterized.
Classify threats in order to identify those that need to be actively managed in the near term.
Do this in an open, transparent, and inclusive manner.
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro

5. Reminders - Workshop Philosophy
Exploit the belief that a collaborative analysis will provide a truer representation than many individual and isolated analyses.
Maximize buy-in through an objective dialogue among the participants about the risks.
Ensure that all perspectives, views and opinions are heard and considered in identifying and judging the risks.
For this open dialogue to lead to consensus on the assessments and mitigations for the risks discussed
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro

6. Reminders - Risk Management approach for LBNF/DUNE
Follows the Fermilab Risk Management Procedure for Projects
Utilizes the Fermilab risk register
All risks are entered
If risk status is “open” and approval status is “approved” then the risk is included in the monte carlo simulation.
If risk remains “proposed” then it is still under consideration
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro

7. Reminder
Risk scoring at right represents how we might categorize the risk, but we will enter into the risk register
actual % probabilities
actual estimates of cost/schedule impacts
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro

8. Risk Register overall for LBNF/DUNE as of today
ALL RISKS BY WBS OPEN RISKS BY RANK
Summary of risks is in spreadsheet format linked at the top of the agenda
We will work real-time in the online risk register to update as we go
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro

9. Monday Tuesday Morning Lunch Afternoon Adjourn Discuss Cryo Risks
Agenda is found here
Monday
Morning
Discuss Cryo Risks
Discuss FSCF Risks
Lunch
Afternoon
Discuss FSCF Risks - cont…
Discuss Far Detector Risks
Tuesday
Discuss Beamline Risks
Discuss NSCF Risks
Adjourn
Thank you for your participation!
E McCluskey | Dec 2017 Risk Update Workshop Intro