1. Framework for setting goals and actions to reach goals
Seminar on the implementation of the
System of National Accounts 2008 in Africa
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 11 to 15 April 2011
Herman Smith
UNSD/DESA

2. Outline of presentation
Introduction
Strategic planning framework
Vision document

3. Statement of strategy
Development of an economic statistics programme for compiling the required scope and detail of the National Accounts to inform policy makers
National policy development plans, NSDS, etc
Regional strategic frameworks for statistical capacity building (RRSF, ASCC, AStCom, AchartStats, SHaSA)

4. Typical strategic planning framework
Mandate,
Underpinned by
Legal mandate (Statistical act)
International standards
Mission
Values
High-level goals
Specific goals
Required activities

5. Strategic planning frame work
Mandate, underpinned by
Legal mandate (Statistical act)
International standards
UN Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics
2008 SNA
BPM6
GFSM
ISIC rev4
Mission
Compile national accounts according to milestone two of the SNA implementation, comprising the minimum required data set

6. Strategic planning frame work
Values
Statistical professionalism
Independence and integrity
Excellent service to our customers
Respect and understanding for our data suppliers
Value for money
High level goals – Strategic lines
Specific goals – Strategic objectives/actions
Required activities

7. High level goals – Strategic lines
1: Equipping African countries with an SNA that is appropriate to their socio-economic realities Develop a description of the sources and methods based on the 2008 SNA that are relevant for the country 2: Strengthening ICP-Africa assets in the field of national accounts Develop sources and methods that are relevant for the ICP programme

8. High level goals – Strategic lines
3: Preparing an optimal and efficient operational system of production and diffusion of national accounts
Timeliness,
Periodicity,
Revision cycle
Scope
Detail
4: Building capacity and sustainability of national accounts production and analysis
National accounts production and training capacity building

9. High level goals – Strategic lines
5: Increasing the availability and improving the quality of the basic data required for the compilation of national accounts, based on the National Strategy for the development of statistics (NSDS)
Development of source data –
Business registers and frames
Surveys
Administrative data
International statistical standards (BPM6, ISICr4, GFS etc.)
6: Increasing human, material and financial resources
Institutional capacity building

10. High level goals – Strategic lines
7: Undertake advocacy at all decision making levels
Communicate the use of national accounts in policy making
Monitoring and Reporting
Communication and dissemination of the national accounts to users

11. Developing specific goals
Assessment of the NSS to support national accounts compilation - Where are we now
Using the Diagnostic tool
Develop a vision for improving the availability and quality of the economic statistics required for the compilation of national accounts

12. Vision document cont
Discuss vision preferably in a national seminar with all stakeholders, such as:
policy planners;
users including the academia; and
business community.

13. Vision document cont Such a discussion is expected to help the NSO to:
prioritize actions to mitigate the problem areas
write a plan for the improvement of the supporting statistics for the compilation of the national accounts
develops an information structure for planning, monitoring and evaluating the implementation of the SNA; and
builds on the joint efforts of the ISWGNA and AGNA to establish an information structure for managing technical assistance operations

14. Setting of goals - Where we want to be
Scope and detail of the national accounts
Frequency of aggregates – nominal and volumes
2008 SNA compliance
ISIC ref 4 compliance
Requirements from the African strategy
Required data sources – Needs
Current data sources and compilation methods – What you have

15. Objectives and actions of the African strategy that are of particular importance at the national level
Inventory of sources of information and questionnaires (collection tools) required by the 2008 – Diagnostic tool
Integration of the GDP breakdown (for ICP) into the SNA national accounts routine work – ICP
3.1: Preparing national accounts in accordance with an timeline that respects the national, sub regional and international requirements – MRDS (timeliness and periodicity)
Establishing tables to be elaborated and published by group of countries – MRDS (scope and detail)

16. Links to the African strategy cont
Utilization of modern and country adapted IT tools
Evaluation of data sources required for the elaboration of the System of national accounts – Diagnostic tool
Development of statistical surveys required for improvement of national accounts – determined by Diagnostic tool
Making an inventory of administrative data sources required for national accounts compilation – Diagnostic tool
5.3: Implementing international statistical systems (balance of payments, budget statistics, financial statistics, etc) for the improvement of national accounts – BPM6, GFSM IRIS, IRDTS
5.4: Adapting international classifications to African socio- economic realities – ISIC rev 4

17. Principal data sources and compilation methods
Vision document
Setting of goals - Where we want to be
Data item
Frequency
2008 SNA
Required sources
Principal data sources and compilation methods M Q A N V
Nominal
Volumes
National accounts aggregates to comply to Milestone 2 - MRDS
Set of short term indicators
Blue – Goals
Green – needs
Red – current status

18. Principal data sources and compilation methods
Vision document
Setting of goals - Where we want to be
Data item
Frequency
2008 SNA
Required sources
Principal data sources and compilation methods M Q A N V
Nominal
Volumes
National accounts aggregates to comply to Milestone 2 - MRDS
Set of short term indicators

19. Data item
2008 SNA
Required sources
Nominal
Volumes
Final consumption expenditure
Household final consumption expenditure
FISIM allocated to users,
Imputed rents
Goods that are produced by households for own final consumption
Household income and expenditure surveys, retail trade sales by type of expenditure items
Housing stock
Price indices or volume series by type of expenditure items

20. Data item
2008 SNA
Required sources
Nominal
Volumes
General government final consumption expenditure
Government final consumption expenditure broken down into individual and collective consumption
GFS data by level of government
Consumption of fixed capital of government fixed assets
Price indices or volume series by type of expenditure items
Individual consumption expenditure
Collective consumption expenditure
The entire defence expenditure incurred by government included in the GCF
FISIM allocated to users

21. Gross fixed capital formation
The entire defence expenditure incurred by government included in the GCF
Consumption of fixed capital measured on all government fixed assets (airfields, roads, hospitals, docks, dams and breakwaters and other forms of construction structures) including military weapon systems
The expenditure on Research and Development included in GCF
Purchases of computer software expected to be used for more than a year included in GCF
Expenditure on software development on own account expected to be used for more than a year and for sale included in GCF
The expenditure on all databases expected to be used for more than a year, whether purchased on the market or developed in-house, included in the GCF
Expenditure on entertainment, literary or artistic originals included in the GCF
Information by type of asset from:
Household income and expenditure surveys capturing own construction expenditure
Economic activity surveys (structural business statistics and short term business statistics)
GFS data by level of government
Price indices or volume series by type of asset

22. Principal data sources and compilation methods
Vision document
Setting of goals - Where we want to be
Data item
Frequency
2008 SNA
Required sources
Principal data sources and compilation methods M Q A N V
Nominal
Volumes
National accounts aggregates to comply to Milestone 2 - MRDS
Set of short term indicators

23. Sector
Subsector
Annual estimates
Quarterly estimates
Constant-price estimates
Final consumption expenditure by households
By purpose and Durable, semi-durable and non-durable goods: and services
Food beverages and tobacco: All components
Benchmark year: Estimated by the five-yearly survey of income and expenditure of households, survey of retail sales, verified by the supply and use framework. Estimates include farm produce consumed by farmers for own account. Other years: Estimated according to monthly surveys of retail trade sales by Stats SA.
Information obtained from the National Department of Agriculture, retail trade sales by Stats SA and relevant sources.
Nominal expenditure is divided by relevant components of the CPI.

24. Sector
Subsector
Annual estimates
Quarterly estimates
Constant-price estimates
Manufacturing
Benchmark year: Periodic large sample surveys and AFSs of manufacturing conducted by Stats SA. Other years: AFSs and monthly data on production and sales, and quarterly surveys of financial and labour statistics conducted by Stats SA, supplemented by sample surveys conducted by the SARB.
Same as for annual estimates for other years.
Base-year estimates are extrapolated using appropriate indices of output quantities based on manufacturing sales at constant prices for the various subsectors of manufacturing.

25. Required activities Coordination of NSS 2008 SNA compliance
ISIC rev 4 compliance
Monthly Price statistics
Monthly and quarterly production and turnover surveys
Business registers
Economic activity surveys (structural business statistics and short term business statistics)
Household income and expenditure surveys
Informal sector surveys
etc.

26. Action plan – How to get there
Diagnostic tool reveals data gaps
Vision document specify the goals and needs
Action plan indicates the required actions with a time table to mitigate data gaps
This action plan represents an implementation programme for strengthening the economic statistics for the compilation of the required scope and detail of the national accounts

27. Development of economic statistics for national accounts
National statement of strategy
Decide on the scope and detail of national accounts compilation
National policy development plans, NSDS, etc.
Assessment
Assessment of the NSS to support national accounts compilation
Where are we now
Regional strategic frameworks for statistical capacity building
RRSF, ASCC, AStCom,
AchartStats, SHaSA
COUNTRY OWNERSHIP
Vision
Setting of goals
Where we want to be
Political Commitment
Statistical capacity
Action Plan
Actions to reach goals
How to get there
Support from the regional and global SNA implementation programme
Implementation
How to stay there

28. Thank You