1. Board of Trustees Summary of 4CD High School Graduation Report
Contra Costa Community College District
Board of Trustees
Summary of 4CD High School Graduation Report
July 2018

2. high school graduate capture rates
Contra Costa Community College District
high school graduate capture rates

3. Contra Costa Community College District enrollment
County HS Grads
HS Grads Applying
HS Grads Enrolling
+ 12%
- 16%
+ 26%
Source: CCCCD Research. Number of high school graduates from DOE. Application and high school graduate status from Colleague, FB query. Run date 6/21/18. JD
The average HS Grad capture rate is 28 %. The most recent year the rate is 32 %.
Source: CCCCD Research. Number of high school graduates from DOE. Application and high school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 5/30/17. JD

4. Primary Feeder High Schools by Service Area
(size of circle indicates relative number of students from each high school attending the colleges)
CCC Overall Capture Rate = 31%
DVC Overall Capture Rate = 28%
LMC Overall Capture Rate = 39%
Source: CCCCD Research. Based on information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD
NOTE: Only schools with 20 or more students enrolling are included.
District Overall Capture Rate = 32%
NOTE: Only schools with 20 or more students enrolling are included. .
Source: CCCCD Research. Based on information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18.. JD
*Note that the capture rates increases over time as students that don’t enroll immediately after graduating from high school enroll in subsequent years.

5. Graduates from Feeder High School Districts
NOTE: Totals are higher than the capture summary on page one because duplication occurs when students take courses at more than one college. Also counts from private high schools are included in this graphic.
Source: District Research, CCCCD. Based on information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD

6. Student ethnicity distribution of recent HS graduates
Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate race/ethnic status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD
Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics
Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate race/ethnic status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD

7. Contra Costa Community College District
Projections

8. U.S. High School Graduates (1976 – 2026)
3.56
Public & Nonpublic
Graduates
Million
Actual
Projected
Proj increases in:
Hispanic students
First-gen students
Proj decreases in:
White students
Private HS grads
DID NOT UPDATE - The big national headlines are that despite the recent improvements in the official high school graduation rate, the sheer number of youth has moderated and entered a decade of relative stagnation. This is in large part as a result of long-predicted decreases in the number of White youth -- which outpace even the substantial increases among non-White student populations. As the numerical majority population -- which is White students – is perpetually declining, graduating classes will be undeniably more racially and ethnically diverse, and correspondingly more academically and financially diverse, as well.
So -- after almost two decades of steady growth in the number of high school graduates averaging about 2% annually, the nation reached a high of 3.4 to 3.5 million grads around Between now and about 2025, there is virtually no increase projected, except for a few years of small increase around 2025, when the nation will produce between 3.5 and 3.6 million high school graduates. After 2025, the number of high school graduates nationally is projected to decrease steadily, to about 3.3 million. This leads to about 7 to 8 percent fewer graduates by the early 2030s than in current graduating years. These decreases in the outer years arise from the long-predicted contraction of the White youth population, and are compounded by the dramatic declines in the numbers of babies born each year since 2007 from all populations -- in other words, a recent “baby bust” that coincided with the recession.
Source: NCES data through SY , WICHE Knocking at the College Door 2016 for SY to

9. CA High School Graduate Projections (2014/15 – 2025/26)
+ 1,800
+ 1,075
DID NOT UPDATE
Note: in a given year, recent high school grads account for ~ 25% of first-time students
~ 7% of total headcount
Source: California Department of Finance, Demographic Research Unit, (2016).

10. high school graduate success
Contra Costa Community College District
high school graduate success

11. Primary educational goal of recent HS graduates
Roughly 4 of 5 high school grads are pursuing a credential or transfer
Let’s now look at several key indicators of their progress toward completion:
Persistence
Full-time enrollment
Passing college level English and math
Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD
Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics
Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD

12. 4CD Average Persistence 81%
Fall-to-Spring persistence of recent HS grads
4CD Average Persistence 81%
Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18.. JD
Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics
Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18.. JD

13. 4CD Average FT Enrollment
Percent attempting 24+ units in first year (full-time)
4CD Average FT Enrollment
Source: CCCCD Research. Headcount based on information from CCCCO Data Mart. New students and high school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 5/26/17. JD
Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics
Source: CCCCD Research. Headcount based on information from CCCCO Data Mart. New students and high school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 11/20/14. JD

14. English course taking patterns for HS Grads*
*includes only those students that enrolled in an English course in their first term
Transfer level English
Source: CCCCD Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD
Pre-transfer English

15. Trends in English course taking over time
*includes only those students that enrolled in an English course in their first term
Percent enrolling in transfer English in their first term is on the rise !

16. Math course taking patterns for HS Grads*
*includes only those students that enrolled in an math course in their first term
College level math
Source: CCCCD Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD
Pre-collegiate math

17. Trends in math course taking over time
*includes only those students that enrolled in an English course in their first term
Percent enrolling in college math is also increasing !

18. College strategies to capture high school graduates
Contra Costa Community College District
College strategies to capture high school graduates

19. HS outreach activities at the colleges
20+ strategies/initiatives per college
Strategies include:
Preparation/orientation workshops for HS juniors & seniors
College application and Ed planning support
Parent engagement
Career awareness and counseling
DID NOT UPDATE
Cohort engagement (vets, disabled students, EOPS, others)
Dual enrollment/concurrent enrollment/Middle College
Faculty and staff professional development
K-14 pathways programs
and still others…

20. Contra Costa Community College District
Questions?

21. Contra Costa Community College District
Gracias