1. NATIONAL AND GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY: STATUS AND PROBLEMS
RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES
ALL-RUSSIAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
NATIONAL AND GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY: STATUS AND PROBLEMS
Ivan Ushachev
Vice-President of the Russian Academy of Agricultural Sciences,
Director of the All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Economics,
Academician of the Russian and the French Academy of Agricultural Sciences
Report for the session of the European Association of Agricultural Academies,
dedicated to 250 anniversary of the French Agricultural Academy, Paris, May 25, 2011

2. THE NUMBER OF HUNGRY IN THE WORLD (ACCORDING TO FAO, MLN. PEOPLE)
Region
YEAR
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
South Asia
180
240
300
270
265
East Asia
360
400
420
310
260
Middle East / North Africa 70 40 30 25 10
Latin America 60 50 20
Africa
170
160
Total worldwide
850
900
860
700
580
500

3. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE MILLENIUM PROGRAMME
250
500
750
1000
1970
1980
1991
1996
2001
2005
2008
2009
2015
MLN.
The number of hungry
According to the World Food Programme

4. FOOD PRICE INDEX ,% to
Source: FAO

5. THRESHOLDS OF FOOD SECURITY CRITERIA IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
grain - at least 95%;
sugar - at least 80%;
seed-oil – at least 80%;
meat and meat products (in terms of meat) - at least 85%;
milk and dairy products (in milk equivalent) – at least 90%;
fishery products - at least 80%.

6. 2030 г. 2009 г. Population projections
Forecast of food production and consumption in 2030, mln tons
elovek
Population projections
2030 г.
2009 г.

7. RISKS OF PROVIDING FOOD SECURITY
Macroeconomic
Natural risks
Technological risks
Agri-environment
Social
Trade and economic
Political

8. FORECAST OF REAL incomes in agriculture by 2030 due to climate warming,%
Source: OECD

9. LEVEL OF GOVERNMENT SUPPORT OF AGRICULTURE IN VARIOUS COUNTRIES (PSE,% 2007-2009 gg.)
Source: FAO

10. develop a common strategy to nutrition of the most vulnerable
«MOSCOW DECLARATION OF THE MINISTERS OF AGRICULTURE AND AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT OF BRIC»
establishment of an information base for agriculture of the BRIC countries on the basis of forecast production and consumption balance
develop a common strategy to nutrition of the most vulnerable
intensification of development cooperation and exchange of agricultural technology and innovation
Increasing efforts by the international exchange of technologies to help reduce the negative impacts of climate change on food security and adaptation of agriculture to the changes

11. THE ROLE OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES OF THE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY
assessments and forecast of food security, taking into account the risks and threats, which we discussed above;
rural development and improving employment, and on this basis - poverty reduction;
Develop mechanisms to achieve a balance between supply and demand in the global food market;
development of new methods and tools for quality control of agricultural commodities and food products, especially food products from genetically modified organisms;
more effective coordination of research on bio-and nanotechnology

12. Thank you for your attention.