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Metropolitan Council Environmental Services A Clean Water Agency Presented to the Environment Committee August 25, 2009 Capital Finance Plan Jason Willett, ES Finance Director
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Capital Improvement Plan 2010-2019 Capital Spending Total projected spending: $1.3 billion (millions) 2
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CIP Comparison 10 years 2009-2018 was $1.4 billion 9 years 2010-2018 was $1.3 billion 9 years 2010-2018 is $1.1 billion 10 years 2010-2019 is $1.3 billion 3 Proposed CIP Current CIP
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Key Assumptions 2009 capital spending of $99.5 million 2010-2019 CIP of $1.3 billion $80M PFA loan 2009 and $8M principal forgiven from ARRA funds, $50 million/yr PFA $ available thereafter Interest rates: 2.07% weighted average for 2009 PFA loan (2.45% for ARRA portion and 1.83% for BAB portion net of 35% IRS rebate) $1 million Pay-as-You-Go financing from operating budget in 2010 and 2011 increased $2M/year thereafter New Reserve Capacity methodology as proposed Council bonds and PFA loans all secured by general obligation of region 4
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Capital Spending History and projections (millions) Adjusted to 2009 $s 1990-2008 Actual, 2009 Estimated, 2010-2019 Projected CIP CIP 5
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Budgeted Debt Service 2000-2008 Actual Debt Service, projected thereafter 2009 Debt Service with 3% inflation History and projections (millions) Projected 6
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Pre-funded Debt Service In prior years, some Operating Funds were transferred to a Debt Service Reserve Fund Balance of $8 million at year-end 2008, and forecast at $6.7 million at year-end 2009 Fund will not be allowed to drop below 5% of annual debt service, or approximately $4-$5 million 7
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Current Value Credits (CVCs) CVCs are payments to local governments for wastewater facilities that Council assumed ownership of, per MN Statute 473.511 Balances owed as of 12/31/08: Burnsville$79,683 Columbia Heights $56,051 Mendota Heights $177,808 New Brighton $471,621 Shoreview$17,156 TOTAL $802,319 2016 is last year for payment of CVCs 8
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DebtExistingPre-fundedBudgeted Service CVCs D.S.D.S.Increase 200991.9.2 (1.6)90.53.8% 201092.0.1 092.11.8% 201193.9.1 094.02.0% 201296.4.1 (0.4)96.12.2% 2013 102.8.1(0.6)102.36.5% 2014111.1.1 (1.0) 110.2 7.7% 2015 121.0.1 0 121.1 9.9% $ in millions Debt Service Adjustments 9
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(in millions) Actual through 2009, projected thereafter PFA Loans (Actual and Projected) Projected 10
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PFA Clean Water State Revolving Loan Program 19 wastewater loan agreements 1989-2009 totaling $1.1 billion Interest rates from 2.54% to 6.42% (prior to the 2009 loans) PFA normally offers below market interest rates (150 basis points or 1.5% for $50m borrowed). PFA pays underwriters discount (we pay none) We pay limited costs of issuance 11
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Impact of Typical PFA Subsidy Typical $50 million loan Total DebtPresent ServiceValue 4.5% Council bond$76.9$50.0 3.0% PFA loan67.243.7 Savings to ratepayers$ 9.7$ 6.3 Bond underwriters discount saved$ 0.5 Cost of issuance saved$ 0.1 Total Present Value Savings$ 6.9* ($ in millions) 12 *Savings = $8.3 million for an $80 million conventional loan.
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Projected Savings NPV NPV Proposed Funding: Cost* Savings $8.2 million of principal forgiveness $0 $30.6M ARRA loan @2.45%$25.8 $49.4M BABs @1.84%$39.3 $88.2M cost (in Net Present Value*) $65.1 Cost of conventional PFA loan for $88.2m: (102.5 basis point discount, or 3.305%) $80.5 $15.4 Cost of $88.2M Council Bonds @4.33%: $88.2 $23.1 *At 4.33% discount rate.
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(in millions) Actual through 2008, projected thereafter Council Wastewater Bonds (Actual and Projected) Projected 13
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(in millions) SAC (Service Availability Charge)CRF (Capital Revolving Fund) Favorable VarianceAnnual Budget Pay-As-You-Go Projected 14
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Outstanding Debt Wastewater Council Bonds PFA Loans $967 $888 $1086 $1150 $1208 $1220 Projected ( and 2007 and 2008 actual) $1201 16 (in millions)
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As a percent of Annual Budget* *Assumes the O&M portion of the budget increases 3% per year. Includes the portion of debt service paid by SAC transfer. Debt Service Projections 17
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Debt per capita (person)* *2007 data from 2008 NACWA survey San Diego $43 Denver$79 Memphis$139 Chicago$279 Kansas City$283 MCES$343 Phoenix$354 Dallas/Ft Worth$415 Washington, DC$480 Philadelphia$530 Cleveland$543 Milwaukee$725 Miami$734 Detroit$738 Nashville $768 Cincinnati$789 Austin$1,085 Sacramento$1,154 New York$1,287 Columbus $1,572 Seattle$1,593 Honolulu$1,861 Louisville$1,872 Peer Agencies 18
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Conclusions Financing load is reasonable Projected next financings needed: $50M PFA loan late 2010 or early 2011 $60-80M Council bonds late 2009 or early 2010 PFA subsidies are quite important Continued financing needs mean that Councils Aaa bond rating is also important 19
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Next Steps Today:Committee information & discussion September:Council approves preliminary Unified Capital Budget, Authorized Capital Program and CIP (including Capital Financing Plan) November:Public hearing December:Council adoption 20
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