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María I. Travasso (INTA)
Expected impacts of climate change on CROP YIELDS in the Pampas region of Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay LA27 María I. Travasso (INTA)
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Climate Scenarios (30-60,70-00, LARS, HADLEY) DSSAT CROPS YIELD
CENTURY PASTURES DSSAT CROPS YIELD
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Relative Yield Changes
Water Limited Potential Mz Sb Wh AZ LARS 7 17 -5 -1 -8 -19 HAD -2 -6 -3 PE 12 28 -11 -4 -10 -7 TR 33 43 3 -12 1 SR 15 19 5 11 PI 9 27 - -13 -17 PF 10 25 -16 LE 37 34 -9 -25
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Mean Crop Yields Potential Water Limited
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Potential Conditions
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Projected Changes in Temperature
Minimum Temperature Maximum Temperature
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Changes (days) in Crops Growing Season
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Water Limited Conditions
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Projected Changes in Precipitation
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MAIZE YIELD WL S. ROSA PERGAMINO ESTANZUELA P. FUNDO
LARS HAD
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SOYBEAN YIELD WL S. ROSA PERGAMINO P. FUNDO ESTANZUELA
LARS HAD
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WHEAT YIELD WL S. ROSA PERGAMINO P. FUNDO ESTANZUELA
LARS HAD
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INCREASING CO2 > RUE > WUE > YIELDS
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Increasing CO2
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% YIELD CHANGES WHEAT MAIZE SOYBEAN
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PASTURES
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CENTURY Especially developed to deal with a wide range of cropping system rotations and tillage practices for system analysis of the effects of management and global change on productivity and sustainability of agroecosystems. This model integrates the effects of climate and soil driving variables and agricultural management to simulate carbon, nitrogen, and water dynamics in the soil-plant system. Simulation of complex agricultural management systems including crop rotations, tillage practices, fertilization, irrigation, grazing, and harvest methods.
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TESTING CENTURY IN URUGUAY
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