1. New statistical needs in light of the EU climate action policy - introduction
Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm, Luxembourg, 29 April 2010
Monika Wrzesinska
ESTAT E6 - Transport statistics

2. Scientific background:
The facts
The consequences
The objective: max +2°C
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

3. Historical perspective:
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)
UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change)
stabilise the GHG emissions « at the level that would prevent dangerous, human-induced interference with the Earth’s climatic system »
Kyoto Protocol
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

4. Political background:
Kyoto versus +2°C
3 x 20% by 2020
30% ?
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

5. Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm
International scene :
2009 Copenhagen
2010 Cancun
2011 South Africa
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

6. EU’s emissions reduction targets :
20% - 30% by 2020
80% - 95% by 2050
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

7. GHG emissions by sector – transport 2nd biggest
Share of each sector in total EU27 GHG emissions in 2006
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

8. Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm
And growing..
Total GHG emissions, AAGR by sector,
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

9. endangering EU’s GHG reduction targets!
Source: Ian Skinner, AEA, « EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050? »
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

10. Situation within transport – by mode
GHG emissions by mode of transport (C02 equivalent)
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

11. GHG growth by mode – past trend
GHG emissions by mode of transport – AAGR 1990 to 2006
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

12. Share of road in GHG emissions – past trend
In million of tonnes of C02 equivalent and % for 1990 to 2006
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

13. GHG growth by mode - future trend
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

14. GHG growth by mode - future trend
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

15. GHG emissions from transport - findings
"business as usual" vs. objectives
decarbonising transport
- one of the priorities of the new Commission
DG MOVE
DG CLIMA
Eurostat
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

16. Policy options for reducing GHG from transport
Reducing demand (e.g. reducing number of trips, better spatial policy, etc)
Using vehicles more efficiently (e.g. eco-driving, optimised routes, reduced speed limits, etc)
Making vehicles more energy efficient (more efficient engines, better aerodynamics, lighter vehicles, etc)
Decarbonising transport energy (bio-fuels, electricity, hydrogen, wind, solar, etc)
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

17. Illustrative scenario tool
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

18. Findings from the illustrative scenario tool
Source: Ian Skinner, AEA, on the basis of the EU transport GHG 2050 tool
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

19. Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm
Conclusions
All known policy options will have to be fully implemented
Additional even more far reaching measures at all levels - EU, MSs and regional will have to be applied
Close monitoring of progress in emissions reductions and efficiency of various measures will be crucial
Need for better targeted, high quality, reliable data !
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

20. Useful links Eurostat’s website and publications, such as
« Panorama of Transport » 2009 edition
« Using official statistics to calculate greenhouse gas emissions - A statistical guide” 2010 edition
EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050 project website:
- Transport and climate action sections of Europa website:
Thank you for your attention !
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Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm