1. Forecasting
Siam Reap

2. Baseline Prediction
How will baseline conditions change in the future (absent climate change)
Technology change
Output prices change
Input prices change
Labor
Land
Water
Fertilizer

3. How will future climate change?
What will be future emissions?
What will be climate effect?
How does that vary across country?

4. IPCC Emissions Scenarios
This study

5. Projected Warming:
This study

7. Predict Impact Estimate Ricardian regression
NR=a+b*Temp+c*Precip
Predict value at current climate (0)
NR(0)=a+bTemp(0)+cPrecip(0)
Predict value at future climate (1)
NR(1)=a+bTemp(1)+cPrecip(1)
Impact per hectare is NR(1)-NR(0)
Total impact is L*(NR(1)-NR(0))