1. Jacques Delsalle Clean Air and Transport Unit DG ENV
NEC Review
Transport Measures in NEC policy runs
Jacques Delsalle
Clean Air and Transport Unit
DG ENV

2. Preliminary list of measures to be analysed
Road transport: to be assessed by TREMOVE before GAINS modelling
Euro 5 for cars and vans, further standard
Euro 6 for Heavy Duty Engines
Measures on existing road vehicles (retrofit, scrapping)
Non-technical measures (Infrastructure charging, LEZ, taxation)
Ships: direct input to GAINS

3. What do we need? Information on costs and effectiveness
Existing and transparent sources.
How to deal with political decision process (e.g. emission standards)
Interaction between TREMOVE and GAINS
Use of TREMOVE: Allows taking into account impact on transport demand, changes in vehicle stock and economic instruments
Need for consistent baselines and equivalent cost concept

4. Organisation TMLeuven working on TREMOVE baseline for NEC
Deadline May 2006
Baseyear consistent with 2000 statistics (transport demand, vehicle stock, fuel consumption)
Work on consistency transport baseline 2020 (PRIMES vs National forecasts vs SCENES/ASSESS in draft TREMOVE baseline)
Detailed information received from 10 countries. Presentation & discussion draft 2.42 TREMOVE baseline at TREMOVE Contact group (30/3, Brussels)
LAT/AUTh working on policy scenarios with TREMOVE
Until May 2006: preparation use TREMOVE, definition scenarios
May-November 2006: TREMOVE runs for NEC
Other contracts for providing data on costs and effectiveness of technical measures

5. Building a consistent baseline
Example: forecasts for fuel consumption road transport up to Need for consistency check on basic assumptions (GDP, prices, implementation technologies)

6. Emission Standards Light Duty Vehicles Heavy Duty Vehicles
Commission Proposal for Euro 5
Include a possible further stage of reductions (Euro 6), in particular for NOx from diesel vehicles
TREMOVE runs : June-July
NB: new baseline may change somewhat the cost and effectiveness of the proposal compared with Impact Assessment
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Panel Report
Decision on scenarios to model with TREMOVE
TREMOVE Runs

7. Technical measures on existing vehicles
Retrofit HDV
Questionnaire sent on 7/3. Deadline for replies 17/4
Contract to be launched mid-april for evaluation policy options
Workshop mid june
Draft final report August
TREMOVE runs Sept-October

8. Non-technical measures
Scrapping / Bans
Internal scenario development (e.g. link with LEZ)
TREMOVE runs Sept-October
Infrastructure charging
Preliminary scenarios on Road HGV charging to be run in June-July: Voluntary approach in the framework of the revised Eurovignette directive
DG TREN will launch a 1-year study in Sept 2006: review of external costs, impact assessment of policy options.
Other
E.g. speed limits
Fuel taxes
Impact CO2+Cars strategy on pollutant emissions