Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byTrevon Ramsbottom Modified over 10 years ago
1
Cotton Economic Update National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board Meeting Amelia Island, Florida August 24-26, 2009 National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board Meeting Amelia Island, Florida August 24-26, 2009
2
Has the Economy Bottomed? Fed Chairman Bernanke thinks so – After contracting sharply over the past year, economic activity appears to be leveling out, …,and the prospects for a return to growth in the near term appear good. –the economic recovery is likely to be relatively slow at first... Fed Chairman Bernanke thinks so – After contracting sharply over the past year, economic activity appears to be leveling out, …,and the prospects for a return to growth in the near term appear good. –the economic recovery is likely to be relatively slow at first...
3
% Change in Real GDP 3 rd Q?
4
Cotton & Textile Demand
5
Textile Trade Declined thru May (Totals as reported by Global Trade Atlas)
6
US Cotton Domestic Consumption
7
More Modest Drop in US Spending for Clothing & Shoes
8
US Cotton Mill Use
9
International Markets
10
Update on Key Countries W Africa – Lower production & exports Brazil – Some quality concerns with current harvest; expected shift to soybeans Central Asia – Smaller crops due to reduced area Pakistan – No widespread concerns on production; new support to textile industry & some improvements in spinning margins W Africa – Lower production & exports Brazil – Some quality concerns with current harvest; expected shift to soybeans Central Asia – Smaller crops due to reduced area Pakistan – No widespread concerns on production; new support to textile industry & some improvements in spinning margins
11
China Cotton Supply & Use
12
China Cotton Price vs. A Index
13
Indias Min Support Price
14
India Cotton Supply & Use
15
Cotton Exports
16
US Production
17
09 Cotton Acres @ 9.05 Million
18
US Acres & Relative Prices
19
US Cotton Production
20
Cotton Crop Conditions
21
US Supply & Demand 2009/10 Beg Stocks6.106.0-6.2 Production13.2113.2-14.0 Total Supply19.3119.2-20.2 Mill Use3.503.2-3.5 Exports10.2010.0-11.0 Ending Stocks5.604.7-7.0
22
Cotton Prices
23
Summary
24
Recovery in Mill Use?
25
Drawdown in World Stocks?
26
Have US Acres Bottomed? 10 ratios based on current Dec & Nov 10 futures contracts
27
Merchants Ginners Cottonseed Producers Cooperatives Warehouses Manufacturers
Similar presentations
© 2024 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.