1. Hurricane Ernesto - Projected Damage Area
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Post Landfall
Projected Damage Area
This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.
Hurricane Ernesto
Projected Damage
Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 1 of 13

2. Post Landfall Debris Model Results
Hurricane Ernesto Debris Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Post Landfall Debris Model Results
Florida – 10,412,000 yd3
North Carolina – 672,000 yd3
South Carolina – 127,000 yd3
Model results per county on following page
This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.
Hurricane Ernesto
Debris Model
Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The amount of debris forecasted is possible total volume, not necessarily the volume that may need to be removed with Federal funds.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 2 of 13

3. Hurricane Ernesto Debris Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Hurricane Ernesto
Debris Model
The amount of debris forecasted is possible total volume, not necessarily the volume that may need to be removed with Federal funds.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 3 of 13

4. Ice/Water Model Results Day One/ Day Two/ Day Three
Hurricane Ernesto Commodities Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Post Landfall
Ice/Water Model Results
Day One/ Day Two/ Day Three
Florida – 50/100/150
North Carolina – 25/25/25
South Carolina – 8/8/8
Model results per county on following page
This model is based on a Category 1 storm making
landfall south of Miami, FL.
Hurricane Ernesto
Commodities Model
Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The amount of commodities forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (8 pounds of ice per person per day and 3 liters of water per person per day) and SME input. The graphic represents single day needs with full distribution system in place and operating.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 4 of 13

5. Hurricane Ernesto Commodities Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Hurricane Ernesto
Commodities Model
The amount of commodities forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (8 pounds of ice per person per day and 3 liters of water per person per day ) and SME input and the above table indicates suggested needs based on phased deployment of a commodities distribution system. The assumption in this scenario is that 30-40% of the resident population affected by Ernesto will have power outage in this area will cause a need for water.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 5 of 13

6. Hurricane Ernesto Population Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Post Landfall
Population Model Results
Florida – 8,132,000 persons
North Carolina – 492,000 persons
South Carolina – 161,000 persons
Model results per county on following page
This model is based on a Category 1 storm making
landfall south of Miami, FL.
Hurricane Ernesto
Population Model
Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The number of persons included in this model output are those that would be included within estimated hurricane force winds (Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values).
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 6 of 13

7. Hurricane Ernesto Population Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Hurricane Ernesto
Population Model
The number of persons estimated to be within hurricane force winds comes from Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 7 of 13

8. Hurricane Ernesto Households Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Post Landfall
Households Model Results
Florida – 3,168,000 households
North Carolina – 193,000 households
South Carolina – 70,000 households
Model results per county on following page
This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.
Hurricane Ernesto
Households Model
Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The number of households included in this model output are those that would be included within estimated hurricane force winds (Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values).
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 8 of 13

9. Hurricane Ernesto Households Model
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Hurricane Ernesto
Households Model
The number of households estimated to be within hurricane force winds comes from Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 9 of 13

10. Temporary Roofing Model Results
Hurricane Ernesto
Temporary Roofing Model Results
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Post Landfall
Temporary Roofing Model Results
Florida – 17,100
North Carolina – 1,700
South Carolina – >400
Model results per county on following page
This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.
Hurricane Ernesto
Roofing Model
Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The amount of temporary roofing that may be required is based on 2% of housing units damaged in CAT 1 wind areas. This only indicates possible need – not necessarily a mission to repair roofs.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 10 of 13

11. Temporary Roofing Model Results
Hurricane Ernesto
Temporary Roofing Model Results
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL MODEL !! THE VALUES ARE PRELIMINARY AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED A GUIDE BUT NOT AN ABSOLUTE VALUE !!
The amount of temporary roofing that may be required is based on 2% of housing units damaged in CAT 1 wind areas, 4% of housing units damaged in CAT 2 wind areas and 8% of housing units damaged in CAT 3 wind areas. This only indicates possible need – not necessarily a mission to repair roofs.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Hurricane Ernesto
Roofing Model
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 11 of 13

12. Temporary Housing Model Results
Hurricane Ernesto
Temporary Housing Model Results
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
Post Landfall
Temporary Housing Model Results
Florida – 2,800
North Carolina – 400
South Carolina – >400
Model results per county on following page
This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.
Hurricane Ernesto
Housing Model
Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast The amount of temporary housing that may be required is based on 1% of housing units requiring temporary replacement in CAT 1 wind areas.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Generated By:
Siemsen, LR EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 12 of 13

13. Temporary Housing Model Results
Hurricane Ernesto
Temporary Housing Model Results
Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL MODEL !! THE VALUES ARE PRELIMINARY AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED A GUIDE BUT NOT AN ABSOLUTE VALUE !!
The amount of temporary housing that may be required is based on 1% of housing units requiring replacement in CAT 1 wind areas.
Details about this model may be obtained at
or contact ENGLink at
Hurricane Ernesto
Housing Model
Generated By:
Siemsen, LRL EDT 08/28/2006
Sources:
HURREVAC
LRL-DEBRIS
Page 13 of 13