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Sustainable Energy for All A focus on efficiency and climate change Kandeh K. Yumkella, Director-General WMO, Geneva, 23.3.2012
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The Age of Planetary Boundaries and Resource Scarcity 3 billion more middle class consumers expected 80% rise in steel demand by 2030 Since the turn of the century, 147% increase in real commodity prices December 2010, FAO food price index at all time high (2010 to 2011 wheat prices rose by 75%) 100% increase in average cost to bring a new oil well into production in last two decades TGIF Water stress 2
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The UN Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, established a new High-Level Group on Sustainable Energy for All Co-chairs: Yumkella and Holliday (Bank of America) Multi-stakeholder group with strong private sector participation Full Action Agenda delivered at Rio+20, 2012 3
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By 2030: Universal Access Double the historical rate of improvement in Energy Efficiency Double the share of Renewable Energy in the overall mix 4
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Implications of achieving universal modern energy access 0 10 20 30 40 0 5 10 15 20 World energy demand 2030 World energy demand in the central scenario World CO 2 emissions 2030 World CO 2 emissions in the central scenario (right axis) Additional CO 2 emissions in the Energy for All Case (right axis) 0.7% Additional energy demand in the Energy for All Case 1.1% Source: IEA 5
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66 Final energy demand and GHG Emissions in the GEA scenarios (blue lines) and compared to a business as usual case (red line)
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Low-income developing economies Lower middle-income developing economies Upper middle-income developing economies High-income developing economies Industrial energy intensity 8
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UNIDO database on Industrial Energy Efficiency policies http://ieep.unido.org/ 9
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11 Temperature profiles for one of the GEA scenarios and for a business as usual development. Climate sensitivity of 1.5-4.5 degrees C from IPCC 2007 AR4
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