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Chrome Mining in Turkey

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Presentation on theme: "Chrome Mining in Turkey"— Presentation transcript:

1 Chrome Mining in Turkey

2 Executive summary Turkey has significant mineral wealth which has yet to be explored Improved foreign investment is leading to the development of Turkey’s resources This is increasing money inflow into Turkey, creating significant jobs and helping GDP growth Nithia Capital, through International Chrome Mining, has made investments in producing Chrome assets We will invest in mine and production expansion and the employment of hundreds of extra Turkish workers Increasing global demand for Chrome and Turkey’s cost competitive position will see Turkey increasingly become a large global Chrome producer

3 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
International Chrome Holdings (ICH) Nithia has extensive Chrome experience having managed 2 of the worlds 3 largest chrome mines Nithia Capital through ICH acquired a number of Chrome Ore producing assets in Turkey New company is called Turchrome Mining Trabzon Port Gemlik Port Kilicmehmet License Kangal License Basalan License Gokarik License Mine shipping port Antalya Port Mersin Port New highly experienced on the ground management team put in place to run the operations and expansion programme Identified operational improvements will add to production increases and profitability It is our intention to become a significant low cost producer of Chrome Ore in Turkey STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL

4 Stainless steel - the main driver for chromite demand
Uses Metallurgical demand Stainless steel demand Stainless steel is used in construction, consumer goods and other sectors % Share (2010) 95% 91% High growth (>3%) Alloy steel demand Used for ball-bearings, tools and other high-strength applications Net scrap availability 7% Decline (<0%) Stagnant (0-3%) 2% Other Use of chromite in non-ferrous alloys and special cast iron applications (e.g., grinding media) Chromite demand Chemical demand Leather tanning Pigments and textiles Metal finishing 1.8% Refractory demand Refractory linings for furnaces and kilns in steel, non-ferrous metals, cement, glass and ceramics 0.7% Stainless steel is currently the largest consumer of chromite and has historically grown faster than other sources. Foundry sands demand Sand casting of metals 2.5%

5 8 Rebound in Chinese and Indian demand has driven stainless steel growth in recent years Apparent demand1 for stainless steel Million metric tonnes per annum % Regional growth (CAGR) Global crisis Global 5.7 10 30 3.5 7.0 25 Developing2 20 Developed3 5.9 -1.8 15 India 9.8 35.8 10 6.8 21.2 5 China Future crises are not expected to hit stainless steel demand as much as the GFC due to migration of demand from developed world into China and India 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1 Including stocking/destocking effects 2 CIS, MENA, Africa, Latin America 3 EU countries; NAFTA; Japan, Korea

6 3 Going forward, China and India will continue to drive stainless steel demand and production Global stainless steel demand Finished steel; Million metric tonnes Global stainless steel production3 Crude steel eq.; Million metric tonnes India Developing1 China Developed2 +4.3% 48.3 +4.3% 2.9 43.9 2.0 3.0 39.4 6.9 +5.5% 35.8 1.7 -0.4 +5.5% 17.1 31.7 5.6 0.6 28.8 12.2 1.3 16.1 5.1 24.2 7.1 10.0 22.1 11.2 1.3 6.1 8.4 16.1 3.3 4.9 11.0 4.1 18.1 11.5 3.0 2.7 13.8 22.1 18.8 6.5 16.8 1.2 15.1 10.0 11.3 6.1 3.2 Chinese demand is expected to be slower in the next 10 years compared to last 5 years due to flattening of stainless steel intensities. India is expected to move into a growth phase in the short to medium term 2005 2010 2015 2020 2005 2010 2015 2020 1 CIS, MENA, Africa, Latin America 2 EU countries; NAFTA; Japan, Korea 3 Yield loss of 9% (based on historical estimates) between crude steel equivalent and finished steel demand % Regional growth (CAGR)

7 Overall chromite demand will continue to be driven by China in future
Calculation of demand excludes Chinese stocking/destocking effects (apparent demand) Chinese demand is expected to slow down compared to past years driven by plateauing of stainless steel demand (similar to steel demand plateau in other geographies) 42% standard grade apparent chromite demand; Million metric tonnes Growth (CAGR) Percent +3.5% 37 2 Developing1 31 +7.1% 1 26 13 Developed2 0.8 3.9 1 13 19 -0.8 -0.2 6 India 1 13 4 14 3 13.9 8.1 17 China 13 9 1 2 30.9 6.2 2005 2010 2015 2020 1 CIS, MENA, Africa, Latin America 2 EU countries; NAFTA; Japan, Korea

8 Chromite demand from non stainless steel is expected to grow slower than stainless steel Chromite demand by type; Million metric tonnes CAGR ( ) Percent Other metallurgical demand (alloy steels and cast iron) is biggest driver – however, it grows slower than stainless steel Refractory and foundry demand show slower growth due to increased substitution with magnesium and alumina Chemical use has fallen from historical levels but expected to remain in China and CIS +2.4% p.a. 4.8 +5.3% p.a. 4.3 3.7 3.1 2.9 3.2 2.8 2.3 metallurgical 1.7 1.0 and foundry 1.3 Chemical 2005 2010 2015 2020

9 Current chromite situation in Turkey
Current chromite situation in Turkey Key strengths for Turkish industry are: High quality of ore Greater cost competitiveness compared to South-Africa Main opportunities for Turkish industry are: Chinese demand for chromite ore likely to be strong with lower availability of ore by main players Main threats include: Higher availability of chromite from Kazakhstan or Zimbabwe Flooding of market with UG2 ore could depress global prices or Turkish premiums (similar to Q3 2011) Chromite production in Turkey Million tons +19% p.a. 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.1 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

10 Turkey has excellent road and port infrastructure in place
Turkey exhibits strong fundamentals that allow an expansion of chromite production while maintaining competitive advantages Overall Turkish infrastructure is not expected to be a constraint on chromite expansion Turkey has excellent road and port infrastructure in place Infrastructure 1 New regulations promulgated to enable ease of entry for professional mining companies Regulatory environment Turkey has no shortage of labour coupled with specialised skills in mining disciplines Labour market

11 In 2011, all Turkish capacity are either first or second quartile mines
2011 CIF China cost for 42% standard grade ore; USD per metric tonne (2011 real) CIF China costs USD/tonne UG2 300 South Africa Oman Turkey 250 Other C901 cost: 210 USD 200 Demand 150 100 C901 50 C90 cost of FOB seaborne cost curves are usually used to assess the cash cost pricing floor. The price premiums for each regime is calculated on the basis of this C90 curve For the chromite cost curve, the C90 player in the overall cost curve and the seaborne cost curve are the same – the seaborne curves are given in the backup 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 Capacity Million metric tonnes

12 In 2010, lower transport costs key reason for competitiveness in Turkish costs
Comparison of Turkish and South African CIF China cost base for comparable mines1 2010 cost comparison USD per metric tonne (real 2011) 2020 cost comparison USD per metric tonne (real 2011) 241 Other 2 194 Sea freight Other 2 172 158 Sea freight 4 3 Inland transport 66 Inland transport 55 Royalties 10 41 34 Royalties Processing costs 6 4 5 Processing costs Mining costs Mining costs Going forward, Turkey is expected to become more competitive due to A) Devaluation of TL B) Lowered electricity costs driving processing cost down Low sea freight rates in Turkey supported due to availability of excess container capacity on the Turkey – China route Overall processing cost increase in SA driven by power tariffs 1 Underground mines with ~1 million metric tonne

13 Mining companies continue to consider Turkey an investment friendly destination Policy Potential Index by country Score out of 100 Notice PPI is a composite index that measures the effects of government policies on the investment attractively in mining industry The score is calculated as a normalized average of score based on set of questions asked to mining companies on administration efficiency, labour issues, infrastructure, regulations Historically, Turkey generally scored better than other main chromite producing countries 2008 2009 2010 2011 W. Australia 61 63 67 71 Ontario 69 75 66 69 Brazil 45 47 46 43 Turkey 36 40 53 35 Kazakhstan 26 33 39 30 South-Africa 35 40 26 23 Russia 36 38 44 23 Zimbabwe 19 15 22 India 12 16 27 11

14 Turkey’s new regulation favours professional mining investors …
2 Turkey’s new regulation favours professional mining investors … Russia Obtaining mining rights in Russia is generally a long complicated by several internal factors From Jun-Nov 2007, success rate of mining rights application was 5 out of 453 South-Africa Broad Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) legislation and by the legal uncertainties complicates mining rights process in South Africa More than 90% of the mining right licenses take more than a year and even up to 5 years The process is complicated by the amount of administrative issues and bureaucracy involved India New Turkish legislation was passed to enable professional mining; it links the licence acquisition with actual mining activity within a certain time frame. License traders with no real investment plans should, therefore, be eliminated from the market The process to obtain operation license and permit is fairly structured and can take from 3 to 12 months depending on the geographical and specific localisation but is generally considered reliable for genuine mining companies Turkey 13

15 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Conclusion Our experience in Turkey has been very positive to date Turkey’s infrastructure, labour and friendly regulatory jurisdiction is a strong draw for international mining companies Chrome production in Turkey set to expand significantly over the coming years Turchrome Mining is set to become a large producer of low cost Chrome Ore Foreign investment will lead to substantial fund inflow, capital expenditure and importantly – jobs STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL


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