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Ag.No. 10.1 Price statistics briefing (a) HICP
Doc.A6465/18/11 + appendices Ag.No Price statistics briefing (a) HICP Working Group on Articles 64 and 65 of the Staff Regulations Meeting in Luxembourg March 2018
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Content of this presentation
HICP transmission and release Flash estimates, 5-digit ECOICOP, contributions HICP ongoing work & 2018 priorities Production & dissemination, legal framework, methodology Owner-occupied house price index (OOHPI) Overview, recent developments, next steps Svetoslava Pavlova, ESTAT unit C4
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HICP transmission & release
HICP indices transmission no later than 15 calendar days after end of reference month publication circa two days after at 11CET HICP flash estimate transmission penultimate calendar day of reference month publication the following day at 11CET Eurostat release calendar for euro indicators HICP release schedule
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HICP flash estimate As from January 2017 data, the transmission of HICP Flash Estimate data became a legal obligation for the Member States whose currency is euro. Laid down in Framework regulation 2016/792
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HICP flash estimate Flash estimate dissemination since entry into force of the Framework regulation 2016/792 January 2017 Flash estimate data transmitted by all euro area countries March 2017 Country-level data published in dissemination database (all-items annual rate of change for some countries) January 2018 Extension of the country data available in database
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HICP flash estimate National data published in the dissemination database include Countries: DE, EL, ES, FR, IT, CY, LV, LT, LU, MT, PT, SI, SK, FI (all-items annual rate & all-items monthly rate) Measures: annual rate, monthly rate, monthly indices Aggregates: all-items HICP, main components (Food, alcohol & tobacco; Energy; Non-energy industrial goods; Services), exclusion measures (All-items excluding energy; All-items excluding food First published data (prc_hicp_fp)
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Availability of 5-digit ECOICOP HICP
Transmission became obligatory under Framework regulation (2016/792) Data published for 32 countries: All Member States, European Economic Area, Candidate countries Release of European aggregates in April 2018 Consistently available for all Member States since December 2016 Allows for special aggregates based on the 5-digit data from November 2018
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What is the ECOICOP ? European classification of individual consumption according to purpose: L0: all-items L1: 12 divisions L2: 47 groups L3: 117 classes L4: 303 categories 264* in the HICP Available in RAMON in 24 languages
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Contributions to the all-items HICP
A contribution shows how much of the euro area annual inflation rate comes from a particular component of the HICP. January 2018 release: contributions replace the euro area impacts News release: main components (including Processed food, alcohol & tobacco and Unprocessed food) Dissemination database: available at class level (4-digit) Contributions to euro area annual inflation (in percentage points) (prc_hicp_ctrb) Explanatory note
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Contributions to the all-items HICP
Impacts Non-additive Limited availability (not available for main components, not in database) Complex formula
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Contributions to the all-items HICP
Additive (allowing for rounding) Available for the main components Easier to replicate
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HICP ongoing work & 2018 priorities
HICP transmission & dissemination: European aggregates and special aggregates based on 5-digit ECOICOP HICP transmission based on SDMX/DSD Legal framework: Finalisation of the draft HICP implementing act Methodology: HICP manual (in technical preparation for publication) Modernisation of price collection: Practical guide on supermarket scanner data (September 2017), ongoing work on, scanner data, web scraping, GTIN code matching
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OOHPI - overview The OOHPI measures the change over time in the transaction prices of dwellings that were purchased for own-use and the cost of all goods and services that households purchase in their role as owners occupiers of dwellings. Owner occupier's housing expenditures represent those expenditures incurred by owners occupiers when purchasing, maintaining and living in their own home. Follows the net acquisitions approach.
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OOHPI – recent developments & next steps
2015 = 100: starting with the release of 1st quarter 2017 data (19 July 2017), HPI and OOHPI index series re- referenced to 2015 = 100 Manual: Technical manual on Owner-Occupied Housing and House Price Indices (published November 2017) Data availability: full set of OOHPI indices (released in April 2017) Next steps: Commission report addressing the suitability of the OOHPI for integration into the HICP (by 31 December 2018)
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OOHPI – recent developments
Owner occupied house price index (prc_hpi_oo)
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Thank you for your attention!
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