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Human Resource Planning

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Presentation on theme: "Human Resource Planning"— Presentation transcript:

1 Human Resource Planning
He Huang

2 Human Resource (HR) Planning
The process by which managers ensure that they have the right number and kinds of people in the right places, and at the right times, who are capable of effectively and efficiently performing their tasks.(3R) Helps avoid sudden talent shortages and surpluses.

3 Steps in HR planning Making a Current Assessment Making a Future
Designing a Future Program

4 Current Assessment Human Resource Inventory
A review of the current make-up of the organization’s current resource status.

5 Planning and Forecasting
Human Resources Management 12e Gary Dessler Planning and Forecasting Employment or Personnel Planning The process of deciding what positions the firm will have to fill, and how to fill them. Succession Planning The process of deciding how to fill the company’s most important executive jobs. What to Forecast? Overall personnel needs The supply of inside candidates The supply of outside candidates Employment (or personnel) planning is the process of deciding what positions the firm will have to fill, and how to fill them. It embraces all future positions, from maintenance clerk to CEO. However, most firms call the process of deciding how to fill executive jobs succession planning. Like all good plans, personnel plans require some forecasts or estimates, in this case, of three things: personnel needs, the supply of inside candidates, and the likely supply of outside candidates. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

6 Forecasting Personnel Needs
Human Resources Management 12e Gary Dessler Forecasting Personnel Needs Trend analysis Ratio analysis Forecasting Tools Scatter plotting Trend analysis can provide an initial estimate of future staffing needs, but employment levels rarely depend just on the passage of time. Other factors (like changes in sales volume and productivity) also affect staffing needs. Ratio analysis provides forecasts based on the historical ratio between (1) some causal factor (like sales volume) and (2) the number of employees required (such as number of salespeople). A scatter plot shows graphically how two variables—such as sales and your firm’s staffing levels—are related. If they are, and then if you can forecast the business activity (like sales), you should also be able to estimate your personnel needs. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

7 Human Resources Management 12e Gary Dessler
FIGURE 5–3 Determining the Relationship Between Hospital Size and Number of Nurses Hospital Size (Number of Beds) Number of Registered Nurses 200 240 300 260 400 470 500 600 620 700 660 800 820 900 860 Figure 5-3 shows hospital size on the horizontal axis. It shows number of nurses on the vertical axis. If these two factors are related, then the points will tend to fall along a straight line, as they do here. If you carefully draw in a line to minimize the distances between the line and each one of the plotted points, you will be able to estimate the number of nurses needed for each hospital size. Thus, for a 1,200-bed hospital, the human resource director would assume she needs about 1,210 nurses. Note: After fitting the line, you can project how many employees are needed, given your projected volume. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

8 Using Computers to Forecast Personnel Requirements
Human Resources Management 12e Gary Dessler Using Computers to Forecast Personnel Requirements Computerized Forecasts Software that estimates future staffing needs by: Projecting sales, volume of production, and personnel required to maintain different volumes of output. Forecasting staffing levels for direct labor, indirect staff, and exempt staff. Creating metrics for direct labor hours and three sales projection scenarios—minimum, maximum, and probable. Computerized forecasts enable the manager to build more variables into his or her personnel projections. Newer systems particularly rely on mathematically setting clear goals. Whichever forecasting tool you use, managerial judgment should play a big role. It’s rare that any historical trend, ratio, or relationship will simply continue. You will therefore have to modify the forecast based on subjective factors—such as the feeling that more employees will be quitting—you believe will be important. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

9 Forecasting the Supply of Inside Candidates
Human Resources Management 12e Gary Dessler Forecasting the Supply of Inside Candidates Manual systems and replacement charts Computerized skills inventories Qualification Inventories Knowing your staffing needs satisfies only half the staffing equation. Next, you have to estimate the likely supply of both inside and outside candidates. Most firms start with the inside candidates. Department managers or owners of smaller firms often use manual devices to track employee qualifications. Thus a personnel inventory and development record form compiles qualifications information on each employee. Computerized skills inventory data typically include items like work experience codes, product knowledge, the employee’s level of familiarity with the employer’s product lines or services, the person’s industry experience, and formal education. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

10 Human Resources Management 12e Gary Dessler
FIGURE 5–4 Management Replacement Chart Showing Development Needs of Potential Future Divisional Vice Presidents Figure 5-4 is a personnel replacement chart for some of a firm’s top positions. It shows the present performance and promotability for each position’s potential replacement. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

11 Forecasting Outside Candidate Supply
Human Resources Management 12e Gary Dessler Forecasting Outside Candidate Supply Factors In Supply of Outside Candidates General economic conditions Regional attraction Development of labor market Household registration system Consciousness of profession If there won’t be enough inside candidates to fill the anticipated openings (or you want to go outside for another reason), you will turn to outside candidates. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

12 Labor surplus

13 Labor shortage

14

15 The introduction about the company
Lenovo Group Limited is the world's first largest personal computer manufacturer with Hewlett-Packard and Dell of the U.S. and Acer of Taiwan. In 2005, it purchased IBM's PC division. Lenovo produces desktops, laptops, servers, handheld computers, imaging equipment, and mobile phone handsets. Lenovo also provides information technology integration and support services, and its QDI unit offers contract manufacturing.

16 LOGO Lenovo (from Legend) ,The Chinese name means "association" or "connected thinking" but can also imply creativity. The name was changed from Legend because it conflicted with other trademarks registered in the West

17 As the first Chinese enterprises ,Lenovo signed to be the International Olympic Committee ( IOC ) global partners, as the computing equipment designated suppliers from 2005 to 2008.

18 Company for the development of staff overall demand
CAGR 22,130 33% 17,925 8% 9,170 Worker* 27% Growth situation analysis : Personnel quantity grow 2.33 times. The growth of absolute quantity is 12,612 people. 32% 8,475 13,194 100%=9,518 35% 6,434 37% 12,960 4,756 Office Clerk** 40% 9,450 39% 42% 6,760 4,762 Overall Growth % % %

19 The next three years personnel changes in proportion
CAGR: 4,762 12,960 40% 5% 5% Senior cadres 40% 49% 32% 21% 26% Technician The ratio of the technician will be up to 26%,which is to be the key point of the recruitment. 15% Market Oriented Staff 15% 28% 28% After-sales service 31% 36% Function support staff Staff ratio 2010 Staff ratio 2013

20 The demand growth of the business group personnel next three years
4,762 CAGR: 12,960 32% Consume IT 33% 24% 60% 37% 20% 104% 30% 1 Three new business personnel increase the highest ,namely IT service、Information operation、hand-hold IA. 2 There are great differences in the personnel demand among every business, especially the emerging business Company IT 36% 41% Information Operations 4% 2% 4% 5% Hand-hold IA 23% 19% Units/OEM IT service 4% personal ratios personal ratios

21 The trend of the future change in each layer of management personnel
senior manager 33 〉33 194 586 Middle-manager 469 1,416 First-line Managers 2010 2013 The total number of cadres grows quickly ,from the 696 in 2010 surge to about 2,000 in 2013

22 HR Environmental Analysis
China's talent market conditions: Position Senior managers Highly skilled Basic skilled Other skilled Amount Scarcity Scarcity Fierce competition Balance Source First-rate IT (foreign) Overseas/returned University/domestic IT wide range Salary More than 300,000 /year 500,000-3,000,000/year , ,000/年 1、Senior management personnel and senior technical personnel are scarce, and other professional talents source seem relative enough. 2、There is a strong demand of the senior manager and senior technical personnel. 3、While the great demand for the executives,the tension of the supply and demand of high skilled worker will exist for a long time in the global scope.

23 what will the company do?
Question? what will the company do?


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