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10/31/17 Energy Buy Pitch: FSLR
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Tailwind: Green Regulation
-It is also imaginable we should expect regulatory tailwinds in the future -There recently have been some major regulations promoting renewable energy Ie. banning sale of electric cars by 2040 in UK and France -only about 1% market share now -Will be 100% in 2040 As a result: electric car demand has been rapidly increasing -Can expect at some point their will be stricter regulation on oil and natural gas and a large shift towards renewable like as in the move to electric cars -that will act to propel First Solar’s growth similar to cars
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Solar tech cad vs si Crystalline-silicon: more efficient, long-lasting, high heat resistance Thin-film: cheaper, more flexible, less susceptible to damage CDTE better in hot, humid, sunny FSLR series 4: 120 W/panel c-Si panels: 315 W/panel FSLR series 6: 420 W/panel Comparison of pay back time for energy investment (epbt)
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Company profile
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Investment Thesis The solar industry has massive growth potential and provides crucial diversification for the Energy Industry Group First Solar is a leading solar manufacturer in a strong financial position to ride out short-term downturns in the industry FSLR differentiates itself from peers through its fortress balance sheet and impressive proprietary technology advancing quickly through industry-leading R&D Current Price $53.83 Price Target $60.00
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Stock Details PE Ratio: 23.7 Dividend yield: 1.23% 52 High: 175.43
52 Low: Comps??
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Diversification (peter)
Energy group is overexposed to oil and gas- need some renewable exposure Renewables are great for diversification because they often track inversely with fossil fuels -0.01 correlation coefficient with CVX; with ENB
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Risks A significant drop in the price of oil could undermine demand, especially in developing markets Dramatic advances in silicon solar tech undermine demand Oversupply could adversely affect prices/margins. Reduction/elimination of government subsidies and incentives for clean energy may impact sales
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General Comps
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Valuation Comps
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Analyst Recommendations (10/9)
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Tariffs
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Questions?
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