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Aid Bypass and Public Trust in Institutions
By Morgan Snow and Tracey Zhang
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Background Previous aid bypass studies
Effect of public opinion on foreign aid Looked closely at Dietrich’s research → quality of governance and state bypass of aid; corruption and state bypass of aid → looked at recipients of aid, we’re looking at donors
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Research Question How does public trust in government compared to trust in nonstate development actors affect the allocation of state-to-state aid versus aid to non-state actors? Hypothesis
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Theory Public opinion serves as a proxy for cultural attitudes, which in turn shape policy Government officials listen to public opinion due to public pressure
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Methodology Variables:
Independent: the ratio of trust in government and trust in nonstate development actors “I am going to name a number of organizations. For each one, could you tell me how much confidence you have in them: is it a great deal of confidence, quite a lot of confidence, not very much confidence or none at all?” Dependent: proportion of non-state aid to state-to-state aid Looked at surveys rating how a much population trusts govt/aid talk about control variables too
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Methodology
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Results In short, not much Donor Welfare significant at the 10% level
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Results (Japan Omitted)
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Conclusions & Next Steps
Collect more, better data Consider developing countries Thank you!
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