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Ripped From the Headlines
Kaitlin Smith 20 September 2016
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Overview “Rising Incomes Juice Consumer Spending”
Wall Street Journal, 13 September 2016 For the middle class, income increased 5.2% between 2014 and 2015 WSJ expects that most of the people earning more income will spend more money
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Income Elasticity of Demand
EDI = % 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑑 % 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 = Δ𝑄𝐷 + 5.2% “Middle-class oriented retailers” sell normal goods Increased spending on normal goods indicates that Δ𝑄𝐷 is positive 0 < EDI ≤ 1 so 0 < Δ𝑄𝐷 ≤ 5.2%
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Outward Shift in Demand Curve
Price Greater demand at all prices D1 D2 Quantity
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How can retailers use this information?
Expect overall sales to increase up to 5.2% Look at income elasticities of specific products to forecast quantity demanded
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