1. CAP Reform Impact to the development of animal number (environment) in Austria
update: August 2003
Gumpenstein
M. GREIMEL, A. Pöllinger
Layout: Birgit Huber-Kitzer

2. Content Main effects of decoupling Cross compliance
Some details concerning coupling effects
Funding / Support (Degression)
Policy position - Austria
Projections
Summary

3. Decoupling - Effects in Austria
Used for dairy cows/production NOT for suckling cows (start: 31/7/2007)
Reduced milk price (15-20%) leads to higher milk production per cow and a shift of the main milk production from disadvantaged to advantaged areas
Extensification in mountain areas
For mountain areas: suckling cows, young stock, sheep and goats

4. Cross Compliance Keeping the soils in good agricultural condition
Maintain the grassland area (reference day: , nat. decision)
Minimum requirements (18 EU-regulatives), fixing of indikators for controll reasons
Most standards are already included in the Austrian national law system

5. Increase of 50.000 premiums for suckler cows/heifers
Cattle
Increase of premiums for suckler cows/heifers

6. Sheep and goats Premiums: 50 % decoupled
Leads to a slightly increasing number of sheep and goats

7. Policy positions in Austria
Farm based direct payments
Crop production: 100 % decoupling
Suckling cows: 100% coupling
Slaughter premiums: 60 % decoupling
Mother sheep, -goats: 50 % decoupling
Milk premiums: 100 % decoupling start:

8. Dairy cattle - Projection
Categories
2000 / (2002)
2010
2020
Dairy cows
Suckler cows
IIASA
6211) / (5891))
2531) (2451))
621
4812)
3134)
586
3993)
574
References/data basis
1) ÖSTAT Austrian Statistic Center
4350 (4600) kg milk per cow and year
2)Milk quota: 2,791 Mio t / average milk production per cow estimated:5800 kg/cow/a 4) Steinwidder, 2003
3)7000 kg/cow/a From 2015 on there might be no quota system in the EU! 4) Steinwidder, 2003 – static projection
(animal number in 1000)

9. Dairy cattle projection Comparison between IIASA and national projection

10. Other Cattle – Projection
Categories
2000 / (2002)
2010
2020
Other cattle
(Including suckler cows)
Method 2
IIASA
1.5341)1.5051))
1.510
1.4882) )
1.530
1.3792) )
1.364
References/data basis
1) ÖSTAT
2) Calculation: Total cattle – less cows and less calves (other cattle are kept on the same level)
3) Method 2: Reduction of other cattle by 2% per year
(animal number in 1000)

11. Dairy and Other Cattle Projection Comparison between IIASA and national projection
IIASA projection
National expert projection/CAP Reform

12. Further Projections - Generell
Swine: realistic szenario used by IIASA (slightly increasing) because of a switch from fatting bulls to fattening pigs – no direct CAP influence
Poultry – no direct CAP influence
Suckler cows – coupling between financial support and production
Sheep and goats – more or less the same number, a slightly increasing effect – land- scape function and small financial support

13. Summary Reduced number of cattle (other cattle and dairy cows)
Less grazing systems for dairy cows
New cow houses are loose housing systems (tied stall systems are forbidden from 2010)
Only marginally affects for swine, sheep, goats, horses and poultry
National financial support for biogas production

14. Thanks for your attention