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On the policy effectiveness of abatement measures

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Presentation on theme: "On the policy effectiveness of abatement measures"— Presentation transcript:

1 On the policy effectiveness of abatement measures
Frank de Leeuw 11th AQ EIONET 26-27 October 2006, La Rochelle

2 Pilot project (TNO, MNP)
Testing the methodology on LCPs EURO standards 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

3 Three scenarios; three years
Reference case Without abatement Measures fully implemented Reference years: 1990, 1995, 2003 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

4 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Methodology Emission = activity times emission factor Activity data per sector: ESTAT, RAINS EF: RAINS, LCP Directive Pollutants: SO2, NOx, NMVOC 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

5 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Methodology LOTOS-EUROS model 1990 Unab ref MFR 2003 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

6 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
NOx Road transport & EURO standards 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

7 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
NOx Stationary combustion & LCP 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

8 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
EURO standards & NOx 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

9 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
LCP Directive & SO2 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

10 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
LCP Directive & SO2 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

11 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Ozone (annual mean) 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

12 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Validation? SO2 trend 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

13 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Validation? 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

14 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Conclusion Work in progress but promissing Better validation Extend analysis with CO Cost data Impact Other directives (e.g. solvent) Explore more local scale (national) 11th AQ EIONET 25-26/10/2006 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

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