1. Overview of Censuses in the Western Balkans during the 2010 round
Jean-Michel Durr
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

2. Date and Type of Census In 2011, following the EU Regulation, except:
Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, canceled
Bosnia and Herzegovina in October 2013
Mostly traditional censuses
Slovenia (register-based) and Turkey (combined register+survey)
Usually every 10 years, following international recommendations, with exceptions due to war
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

3. Censuses in Western Balkans
Country
Census ref. date
Type of census
Census Population
Previous censuses
Albania
1-Oct-2011
Traditional*
1989, 2001
Bosnia and Herzegovina
01-Oct-2013
1991
Croatia
31-Mar-2011
1991, 2001
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
30-Sep-2011
(canceled)
2.1M (est.)
1991, 2002
Kosovo under UNSR 1244
1981
Montenegro
1991, 2003
Serbia
Slovenia
1-Jan-2011
Register based
Turkey
02-Oct-2011
Combined**
1985, 1997
* Face to face with interviewers
** registers + survey
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

4. Census Laws
Census law in every country to provide the organization and execution of the census:
Definitions: population...
Topics covered
Date
Organisation, competencies of census bodies
Obligation to respond, confidentiality
Budget...
Some flaws in the census laws: lack of flexibility on the date, confidentiality, references to the statistical law, obligation to answer, role and composition of commissions...
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

5. Census Cost Average cost per capita: 5.6 € (exc. Slovenia and Turkey)
Funding supported by international cooperation, except for Montenegro and FYROM
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

6. Communication Special population groups targeted (minorities)
Multimedia (TV, radio, billboards, web, SMS, social networks …)
Confusion publicity / communication
Need to develop communication strategy (media, political leaders…)
Median cost in the UNECE region 2%
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

7. Organization Institute of Statistics to define methodology
Involvement of government and local authorities in the organization: national, regional and municipal census commissions:
Supervision
Appointment of field staff
Logistics
Reception of material …
Need to clarify the role of the Municipal Commissions, unclear in some countries: support or control?
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

8. Questionnaire Follow the International and European Recommendations
Definition of population based on usual residence (12 months or more)
Issue of Diaspora (specific questions or questionnaires)
Include sensitive question on ethnicity, religion and mother tongue:
Open question: or closed:
Obligatory or not
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

9. Ethnicity, Religion and Mother tongue
Country
Ethnicity
Religion
Mother tongue
Type of question
Obligatory?
Albania
Open No
Closed
Yes
Bosnia & Herz.
Open*
Croatia
Semi-Open
FYROM
Kosovo**
Montenegro
Serbia
Slovenia -
Turkey
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017
* Open question with boxes for the 3 constituent people
** under UN Security Resolution 1244

10. Cartographic preparation
Cooperation NSO and Geodetic administration
Use of orthophotos, satellite images
GIS in some countries (Albania, Kosovo)
Average size of EA : 100 Households in Urban areas, 80 in rural areas
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

11. Enumeration Two weeks except Albania (4 weeks)
Field staff: Supervisor > Controllers > Enumerators
Monitoring using innovative methods (SMS)
Albania
Bosnia & Herz.
Croatia
FYROM
Kosovo*
Montenegro
Serbia
Enumerators
11 712
19 089
13 943
15 694
4 980
3 900
36 559
Controllers
2 330
2 509
1 950
1 496
870
461
4 471
Ratio 5 8 7 10 6
* under UN Security Resolution 1244
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

12. Data processing Manual data entry in Kosovo, Montenegro and FYROM
Optical Character Recognition: Albania, Croatia, Serbia and Bosnia- Herzegovina
Is OCR really cost-effective for population under 10 million considering the preparation time?
Editing-imputation: heterogeneity of methodology (manual vs automated, imputation of missing data (Albania and Kosovo only), imputation technique) and IT implementation
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

13. Evaluation
Albania
PES - From Nov. on a sample of 0,9% of total EAs
Net under-coverage: 3.8 %
Bosnia & Herzegovina
PES - on sample of 1,0% of total number of 240 EAs
Net over-coverage: 5.6 %
Croatia
PES - From 2-10 May on 1,4 % of households
Not published
FYR of Macedonia
PES planned on 1% of households
N/A
Kosovo under UNSR 1244
PES - From April on a sample of 0.5 % of the population
Net under-coverage: 2.3 %
Montenegro
PES - From April on a sample of 1,0 % of EA
Serbia
PES - From 22 Oct. – 5 November on sample of 250 EA (0, 6 % of EAs
Net over-coverage: 1.5 %
Turkey
No evaluation -
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

14. Dissemination
Preliminary results published within a few months (enumerated population)
Final results published 12 to 21 months after the census
Publications (paper and downloadable)
Tables accessible on the web
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

15. Dissemination Country First results Thematic reports Excel Tables
User defined tables
Albania
Yes
Migration, Gender,
Living Condition and Inequality, People and Work, Population Projections No
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Main results + others in preparation
Croatia
Education, Households and fanilies, Disabilities, Economic activity
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
N/A
Kosovo under UNSR 1244
Main results, Living conditions, Migration, Gender and Ethnicity, Households, Women, Agriculture, Socio-economic characteristics, Labour marjet, Education, Dewllings and buildings, Population projections
Montenegro
Children
Serbia
Ethnicity, Age and sex, Education, literacy and computer literacy, religion, language and ethnicity, Marital status, Fertility, Economic activity, Disability, Migration, Households, Commuters, Families, Occupations, Industry, Sources of livelihood, Comparative , Housing units, Dwellings
Slovenia
Regions
Turkey
Main results
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

16. Suggestions for next censuses
Rework census laws
Sensitive questions: are they necessary?
Issue of diaspora to take into account
Data collection: use handheld devices (tablets)
Clarify the role of Census commissions
Improve communication strategy
Quality and Evaluation: PES and quality reports
Improve Editing and Coding (methodology and IT implementation)
GIS: for cartographic preparation AND dissemination
Dissemination more effective (online user-friendly tools)
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017

17. Jean-Michel Durr jmdurr@jmstat.com
Thank you
Jean-Michel Durr
1st meeting of the TCG Group - Budapest
15 June 2017