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Portfolio Theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model
Chapter 8 Principles of Corporate Finance Tenth Edition Portfolio Theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model Slides by Matthew Will McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved
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Topics Covered Markowitz Portfolio Theory
The Relationship Between Risk and Return Validity and the Role of the CAPM Some Alternative Theories
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Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Combining stocks into portfolios can reduce standard deviation, below the level obtained from a simple weighted average calculation. Correlation coefficients make this possible. The various weighted combinations of stocks that create this standard deviations constitute the set of efficient portfolios.
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Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Price changes vs. Normal distribution IBM - Daily % change Proportion of Days Daily % Change
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Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Standard Deviation VS. Expected Return Investment A % probability % return
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Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Standard Deviation VS. Expected Return Investment B % probability % return
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Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Standard Deviation VS. Expected Return Investment C % probability % return
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Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Standard Deviation VS. Expected Return Investment D % probability % return
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Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Expected Returns and Standard Deviations vary given different weighted combinations of the stocks Expected Return (%) IBM 40% in IBM Wal-Mart Standard Deviation
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Efficient Frontier S rf T
Lending or Borrowing at the risk free rate (rf) allows us to exist outside the efficient frontier. Expected Return (%) S Lending Borrowing rf T Standard Deviation
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Efficient Frontier Let’s Add stock New Corp to the portfolio
Previous Example Correlation Coefficient = .4 Stocks s % of Portfolio Avg Return ABC Corp % % Big Corp % % Standard Deviation = weighted avg = 33.6 Standard Deviation = Portfolio = 28.1 Return = weighted avg = Portfolio = 17.4% Let’s Add stock New Corp to the portfolio
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Efficient Frontier NOTE: Higher return & Lower risk
Previous Example Correlation Coefficient = .3 Stocks s % of Portfolio Avg Return Portfolio % % New Corp % % NEW Standard Deviation = weighted avg = 31.80 NEW Standard Deviation = Portfolio = NEW Return = weighted avg = Portfolio = 18.20% NOTE: Higher return & Lower risk How did we do that? DIVERSIFICATION
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. Security Market Line rf Return Market Return = rm
Efficient Portfolio Risk Free Return = rf 1.0 BETA
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Security Market Line rf SML Equation = rf + B ( rm - rf ) Return SML
BETA 1.0 SML Equation = rf + B ( rm - rf )
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Capital Asset Pricing Model
R = rf + B ( rm - rf ) CAPM
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