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Economic Analysis/ Appraisal

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Presentation on theme: "Economic Analysis/ Appraisal"— Presentation transcript:

1 Economic Analysis/ Appraisal
Krishna Khadka Krishna Khadka

2 Objectives To assess the project’s worth to the economy
Efficient utilization of the resources Growth of resources over time Krishna Khadka

3 Need Major needs of the economic analysis are:
optimum allocation of resources feasibility of the project Minimize investment risk Krishna Khadka

4 Economic Vs Financial Analysis
Costs and Benefits CBA technique (although with varying degree) with/without analysis Krishna Khadka

5 Economic Vs Financial Analysis/ Appraisal
Objectives Stakeholders costs and benefits Analysis Prices Payment Krishna Khadka

6 Identification Krishna Khadka

7 AUGMENTED series of CBA
costs and benefits Direct Indirect AUGMENTED series of CBA Krishna Khadka

8 Estimation of costs and benefits
- Multiplier Linkages Input output model Leontief Inverse Matrix Krishna Khadka

9 Valuation Estimation of prices
Definition of price - allocative efficiency Market prices The shadow price – other terms for shadow prices Krishna Khadka

10 Distortion of market prices
Policies Monopoly Unions Unemployed resources Krishna Khadka

11 Prices Mathematical Programming, I/O Model,
Domestic Price Numeriar System, World Price Numeriar System, Direct price comparison method DRC And so on Krishna Khadka

12 World Price Numeriar System
Most the project analysis use world price numeriar system for the estimation of shadow prices. Analysis using world price numeriar indicates: Whether its output could be obtained more cheaply from international sources Krishna Khadka

13 WP and CF Conversion Factor (CF)
Economic price value = CF*financial price value Traded goods cif fob Non-traded goods Krishna Khadka

14 TRADED GOODS Krishna Khadka

15 Cont… Prices of traded inputs  Import prices if they are imported
 Export prices if it is exported Prices of project outputs  Export price if the project contributes to the export  Import price if the project produces import substitutable products Krishna Khadka

16 Cont… Border parity price of exported goods
While the border parity price of imported goods is Krishna Khadka

17 Cont… For the purpose of estimation of shadow price or Conversion Factor, traded inputs and outputs are further classified into: imported only exported only both exported and imported Krishna Khadka

18 Non-traded product If a product is not traded between two countries, that is, if it does not cross the international boundary - it is known as non-traded Krishna Khadka

19 Some products are taken as traded in one country but the same product is classified as non-traded in other country Example: cement Since the non-traded inputs are not exported and imported they should be managed within the country Krishna Khadka

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