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Car Race – Linear Sequences
goteachmaths.co.uk Car Race – Linear Sequences
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Tree Diagrams Independent Events
19 February 2019 Tree Diagrams Independent Events
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Which is bigger? 1 10 1 100 1 20 1 1000
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Leicester winning the league last season.
1 5 Chips for lunch. Leicester winning the league last season. 1 500 1 3,000,000 Winning the lottery
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Alice picks a button. Josh picks a button. R Y R R R R R R R R
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Results Alice Pick Josh Pick Y YY Y R YR Y RY R R RR 1 10 1 10 1 10 1
100 Y YY x = Y 1 10 9 10 1 10 9 10 9 100 R YR x = 1 10 9 10 1 10 9 100 Y 9 10 RY x = R 9 10 9 10 9 10 81 100 R RR x =
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We know probabilities must add up to 1.
What is the probability of choosing any blue button? 6 10 0.6 What is the probability of choosing any red button? 4 10 0.4 B P(BLUE BUTTON) = 6 10 6 10 We know probabilities must add up to 1. START 4 10 R P(RED BUTTON) = 4 10
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We know probabilities must add up to 1.
What is the probability of choosing any blue button? 6 10 What is the probability of choosing any red button? 4 10 B P(BLUE BUTTON) = 6 10 6 10 We know probabilities must add up to 1. START 4 10 R P(RED BUTTON) = 4 10
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Complete the Tree Diagram in your books
What is the probability of choosing any yellow button? 7 10 0.7 Complete the Tree Diagram in your books Y P(YELLOW BUTTON) = 7 10 7 10 START 3 10 B P(RED BUTTON) = 3 10
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Complete the Tree Diagram in your books
What is the probability of choosing any yellow button? 7 10 Complete the Tree Diagram in your books Y P(YELLOW BUTTON) = 7 10 7 10 START 3 10 B P(RED BUTTON) = 3 10
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Complete a Tree Diagram on your whiteboard.
Use fractions or decimals or both. B P(BLACK BUTTON) = 5 10 5 10 START 5 10 Y P(PINK BUTTON) = 5 10
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Complete a Tree Diagram on your whiteboard.
Use fractions or decimals or both. Y P(YELLOW BUTTON) = 9 10 9 10 START 1 10 P P(PINK BUTTON) = 1 10
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To draw one-stage tree diagrams. To draw complex tree diagrams.
19 February 2019 Tree Diagrams To draw one-stage tree diagrams. To draw complex tree diagrams. Keywords: probability, chance, likely, unlikely, expected
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Tree Diagrams often show one event followed by another.
- one dice followed by a second dice - one coin followed by a second coin - one day followed by another day - one pick from a bag followed by a second pick
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We will pick a button – then put it back – then pick another.
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We MULTIPLY the probabilities.
Results 2nd Pick 2 10 2 10 2 10 4 100 B BB x = 1st Pick 2 10 B 1st Pick Black 2nd Pick Black We MULTIPLY the probabilities. 8 10 2 10 8 10 16 100 BY x = Y 2 10 8 10 2 10 16 100 8 10 YB x = B Y 8 10 8 10 8 10 64 100 Y YY x =
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We will pick a button – then put it back – then pick another.
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Results 2nd Pick PP 1st Pick PY YP YY 4 10 4 10 4 10 16 100 P x = 4 10
24 100 PY x = Y 4 10 6 10 4 10 24 100 6 10 P YP x = Y 6 10 6 10 6 10 36 100 Y YY x =
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Results 2nd Pick BB 1st Pick BY YB YY 3 10 3 10 3 10 9 100 B x = 3 10
7 10 3 10 7 10 21 100 BY x = Y 3 10 7 10 3 10 21 100 7 10 B YB x = Y 7 10 7 10 7 10 49 100 Y YY x =
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Results 2nd Pick BB 1st Pick BY YB YY 4 10 4 10 4 10 16 100 B x = 4 10
24 100 BY x = Y 4 10 6 10 4 10 24 100 6 10 B YB x = Y 6 10 6 10 6 10 36 100 Y YY x =
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1st Pick 2nd Pick Results Template Available!
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Hand up when you’re finished so I can check and give you a challenge!
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1st Pick, then the button goes back.
10 buttons 8 buttons 3 colours Draw a Tree Diagram: 1st Pick, then the button goes back. 2nd Pick. Results.
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Jo randomly picks one button, puts it back, then picks another button.
10 buttons: 4 Black 6White 7 buttons: 3 Black 4 White Jo randomly picks one button, puts it back, then picks another button. Draw a Tree Diagram to show the probabilities. Mo randomly picks one button, puts it back, then picks another button. Draw a Tree Diagram to show the probabilities.
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What’s wrong? What’s the answer?
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We will pick a button – then put it back – then pick another.
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Results 2nd Pick RR 1st Pick RY YR YY 4 10 4 10 4 10 8 10 R x = 4 10 R
5 10 4 10 5 10 20 100 RY x = Y 4 10 6 10 4 10 24 100 6 10 R YR x = Y 6 10 6 10 6 10 36 20 Y YY x =
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‘AND Rule’ P (A and B) = P(A) x P(B) ‘OR Rule’ P (A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
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What is the probability of HH? TT? One H and one T?
Tree Diagram: Coins 1st Coin 2nd Coin Results 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 4 HH x = H 1 2 H 1 2 1 2 1 4 1 2 HT x = T START 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 4 TH x = 1 2 H T 1 2 1 2 1 4 1 2 TT x = T What is the probability of HH? TT? One H and one T?
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1st Roll 2nd Roll Results 6 66 6 6,N6 6 N6,6 N6,N6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 36 x
Tree Diagram: DICE, 6 or NOT 6 1st Roll 2nd Roll Results 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 36 6 66 x = 1 6 6 NOT 6 1 6 5 6 5 36 5 6 x = 6,N6 START 1 6 5 6 1 6 5 36 6 N6,6 x = 5 6 NOT 6 NOT 6 5 6 5 6 25 36 5 6 N6,N6 x = What is the probability of getting no sixes? Only 1 six?
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