1. Meltdown: Can the LibDems avoid disaster in 2015?
Andrew Russell
University of Manchester

2. Reported Vote Intention (Wave 2)

3. Flow of the Vote? 2010 LD Voters
Feb-March 2014
May-June 2014
Conservative
8.9%
9.5%
Labour
26.9%
26.7%
Liberal Democrats
25.0%
21.6%
Scottish National Party
1.2%
1.1%
Plaid Cymru
0.3%
UKIP
11.2%
Greens
5.1%
8.4%
BNP
0.4%
0.1%
Would not vote
2.1%
1.8%
Don’t Know
21.3%
19.1%
N=6,436 Wave 1 and N=6,376 Wave 2 (all data are weighted using wt_full_w1 & wt_full_w2)

4. RVI of those contacted by LDs in last 4 weeks

5. Agency – 2010 LD Seats (Cons in 2nd)

6. Agency- 2010 LD Seats (Labour 2nd)