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Tropical Cyclones EAS 309 10 December 2018
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Review: Extratropical Cyclones
Low pressure center Strong temperature gradients at surface (fronts) Strong winds at fronts Asymmetric precipitation and cloud fields Fueled primarily by the equator-to-pole temperature gradient Occur throughout year, largely in the midlatitudes
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Tropical Cyclones Low pressure center
Rapidly rotating organized systems of thunderstorms Closed surface circulation around a well-defined center Originates over tropical or subtropical waters
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Tropical Cyclone Stages
If environmental conditions promote further intensification hurricane Sustained wind speeds > 74 mph Unorganized cluster of thunderstorms Over time, it can strengthen into a tropical storm, at which point the storm is named If the thunderstorms become more organized tropical depression Sustained wind speeds of 39 – 73 mph Sustained wind speeds < 39 mph
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Does not address other hurricane-related hazards
Saffir Simpson Scale Major hurricane Does not address other hurricane-related hazards
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Tropical Cyclone Formation Regions
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Hurricane Ingredients
Formation conditions: Pre-existing disturbance Located away from equator Sea surface temperatures of at least 80°F Low vertical wind shear High relative humidity Decay conditions: Cool sea surface temperatures Strong vertical wind shear Landfall
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Hurricane Ingredients
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Tropical Cyclone Structure
Eye: center of the storm where winds are light and skies are mainly clear Eye wall: area surrounding the eye where winds and strongest and rain is heaviest Rain bands: bands of clouds and rain that stretch for hundreds of miles and contain thunderstorms and even tornadoes Eye wall Rain bands Rain bands Eye Latent heat release fuels tropical cyclones
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Hurricane as Carnot Engine
A B: Isothermal expansion Acquire heat through evaporation B C: Adiabatic expansion C D: Isothermal compression Lose heat through radiative cooling D A: Adiabatic compression
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Wind Circulation Slower wind speeds on the left side of hurricane
Storm movement and wind circulation are in opposite direction Faster wind speeds on the right side of hurricane Storm movement and wind circulation are in same direction
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Factors that influence the magnitude of storm surge
Rise of water generated by a storm over and above the predicted astronomical tide due to strong winds associated with the storm’s circulation Factors that influence the magnitude of storm surge Extent of strong winds Depth of near-shore waters Speed of hurricane Angle track of hurricane takes to coastline Timing of natural tides
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Tropical Cyclones vs. Extratropical Cyclones
What are some similarities and differences among tropical cyclones and extratropical cyclones?
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Extratropical Cyclones
Fronts No fronts Powered by equator-to-pole temp gradient Powered by latent heat release Cold core Warm core No eye at center Eye at center Much larger spatially Much smaller in size Most intense in winter Most intense in summer and fall Vertical wind shear Vertical wind shear is bad Similarities: Low pressure centers Heating through condensation Strengthened through divergence aloft
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Cyclone Spectrum
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Extratropical Transition
Gradual process in which a tropical cyclone loses its tropical characteristics (warm-core, symmetric) and becomes more extratropical in nature (cold-core, asymmetric) L L
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Extratropical Transition of Irene
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Extratropical Transition – Tropical Phase
Wind Rain
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Extratropical Transition – Transition Phase
Wind Rain
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Extratropical Transition – Extratropical Phase
Wind Rain
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Extratropical Transition Climatology
Most tracks DO NOT travel through the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico Greatly impact eastern United States Jones et al. 2003
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Extratropical Transition Climatology
Areas closer to east coast have higher likelihood of experiencing a tropical cyclone that undergoes extratropical transition Hart and Evans (2004)
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Extratropical Transition Climatology
All TCs Solid line: % of tropical cyclones that transition each month Peak in number of both sets in September Likelihood of extratropical transition increases throughout tropical season ET TCs Hart and Evans 2001
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Extratropical Transition Climatology
All TCs Short-dashed line is % of TCs that made landfall north of 25N % of landfalling tropical cyclones decreases as tropical season goes on Long-dashed line is % of TCs that made landfall north of 25N and transitioned While % is lower, if a storm DOES make landfall, it is more likely to undergo ET TC land ET land Hart and Evans 2001
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