1. How much is health spending expected to grow?

2. U.S. health care spending per capita has risen at historically low rates recently, but is expected to pick up
Average annual growth rate of health spending per capita for 1970’s – 1990’s; Annual change in actual health spending per capita 2000 – 2014 and projected health spending per capita (2015 – 2024)
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of National Health Expenditure (NHE) data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group Note: 2015 projected growth rates are calculated using data from “NHE Projections tables”

3. Growth in prescription spending had slowed, but increased rapidly in 2014 and 2015
Average annual growth rate of prescription drug spending per capita for 1970’s – 1990’s;
Annual change in actual prescription drug spending per capita 2000 – 2014 and projected prescription drug spending per capita
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of National Health Expenditure (NHE) Historical ( ) and Projected ( ) data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group (Accessed on December 7, 2015) Note: 2014 to 2015 percent changes are calculated using 2014 and 2015 projected amounts.

4. Per capita out-of-pocket spending grew slowly in 2014, but may pick up again starting in 2015
Average annual growth rate of health spending per capita for 1970’s – 1990’s; Annual change in actual health spending 2000 – 2014 and projected health spending (2015– 2024)
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of National Health Expenditure (NHE) data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group. Note: 2015 projected growth rates are calculated using data from “NHE Projections tables”

5. Out-of-pocket spending on hospital care fell in 2014, but grew for Rx drugs
Actual per capita out-of-pocket health spending 2000 – 2014, and projected per capita out-of-pocket health spending (2015 – 2024)
on hospitals, physicians and clinics, and retail prescription drugs
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of National Health Expenditure (NHE) Historical ( ) and Projected ( ) data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group (Accessed on December 7, 2015)

6. An annual percentage point difference in growth rates makes a very large difference in spending over time
Projected annual change in U.S. per capita health spending 2015– 2024, alternative scenarios
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of National Health Expenditure (NHE) data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group

7. Health spending projections are now lower than previous projections
CMS projections of national health expenditures, in US $ billions, predicted based on baseline year
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of National Health Expenditure (NHE) data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group

8. Long-term health spending is difficult to project
CMS projections of national health expenditures, predicted based on baseline year
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of National Health Expenditure (NHE) data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group