1. Transforming Scenario Narratives into Study Cases
Michael Bailey, P.E.
SDS Meeting, June 25-26, 2018
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

2. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Focus on Reliability
WECC’s Mission
To assure the near and long-term reliability of the Bulk Electric System in the Western Interconnection.
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

3. Reliability Questions
Adequacy?
Operations?
Infrastructure?
Stability?
Expectations?
Economics?
Risks?
Drivers?
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

4. Scenario Development Cycle
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5. Scenario Development Context
Modeling
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

6. Tool Driven Studies Constrained by Tool Capabilities
Historic Study Approach
Constrained by Tool Capabilities
Design Studies to fit available tools
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7. Designed Approach to Studies
Scoping Tools, Study Resources
Tools, Methods, Skills, Models, Data A B X Z Y
Craft Study Approach
Questions to be Answered
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8. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Modeling
Identify study goals (questions to be answered).
Frame a Study Approach:
Tools
Methods
Partnerships
Develop models based on study approach.
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9. Framing a Study Approach
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10. Framing a Study Approach
Study Goals
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11. Framing a Study Approach
Tools, Partnerships
Study Goals
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

12. Framing a Study Approach
Tools, Partnerships
Study Goals
Methods
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13. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

14. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Study Goals
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15. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Study Goals
Renewable Penetration
Water Energy
Value of Transmission
Etc.
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16. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Study Goals
Production Cost
Capital Cost
Partners
. . .
Renewable Penetration
Water Energy
Storage
Etc.
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

17. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Study Goals
Production Cost
Capital Cost
Partners
. . .
Renewable Penetration
Duck Curves
Ramping
Flexibility
Water Energy
Storage
Etc.
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

18. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Study Goals
Production Cost
Capital Cost
Partners
. . .
Renewable Penetration
Duck Curves
Ramping
Flexibility
Portfolio Screening
Transmission Expansions
Water Energy
Storage
Etc.
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

19. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Study Goals
Production Cost
Capital Cost
Partners
. . .
Renewable Penetration
Duck Curves
Ramping
Flexibility
Portfolio Screening
Transmission Expansions
National Labs
Consultants
Stakeholders
Water Energy
Storage
Etc.
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

20. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Matrix
Study Goals
Production Cost
Capital Cost
Partners
. . .
Renewable Penetration
Duck Curves
Ramping
Flexibility
Portfolio Screening
Transmission Expansions
National Labs
Consultants
Stakeholders ?
Water Energy
Storage
Etc.
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

21. Tools and Partnerships
Production Cost
Power Flow
Capital Cost
Stochastics
Predictive Analytics
Geospatial
Consultants
National Labs
Stakeholders
Other . . .
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

22. Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Questions
Michael Bailey
Western Electricity Coordinating Council