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2006-07 Iowa Grain and Biofuel Flow Survey
Iowa Institute of Cooperatives 2009 Winter Meetings Chad Hart Tun-Hsiang (Edward) Yu Assistant Professor Assistant Professor Iowa State University University of Tennessee
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Thanks! Sponsoring Groups Project Partners
Agribusiness Association of Iowa Iowa Biodiesel Board Iowa Corn Promotion Board Iowa Farm Bureau Federation Iowa Institute for Cooperatives Iowa Renewable Fuels Association Iowa Soybean Association Iowa Department of Economic Development Iowa Department of Transportation Project Partners Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship USDA-NASS, Iowa Field Office Thanks! 2
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Survey Format 5 distinct surveys Grain Marketers (Farmers)
Grain Handlers Corn Processors (including Ethanol) Soybean Processors Biodiesel Producers
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Survey Participation Survey Section Sample Usable Returns
Response Rate Grain marketers 4,000 1,234 30.9% Grain handlers 981 353 35.2% Corn processors /ethanol plants 32 13 40.6% Soybean processors 30 11 36.7% Biodiesel 9 69.2% 4
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Grain Marketers Results
2.05 billion bushels of corn were produced during the 2006/07 marketing year. 82% sold, 11% utilized on the farm, 7% remaining for future sales 510 million bushels of soybeans were produced 92% sold, 1% used on the farm, 7% expected to be marketed Over 60 million bushes of corn and 18 million bushels of soybeans were containerized on the farm
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Grain Marketers Results
Average trucking distance by farmers ranges from 4 miles for smaller wagons (<500 bu.) to 24.5 miles for semis. Average distance to market: Unimproved gravel roads: 5.5 miles Paved county roads: 8 miles State highways: miles
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Producer Markets for Corn
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Producer Markets for Corn
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Shifting Markets for Corn
percent
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Producer Markets for Soybeans
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Producer Markets for Soybeans
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Shifting Markets for Soybeans
percent
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Transportation for Corn
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Transportation for Soybeans
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Grain Hauling Vehicles
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Projected Change in Fleet by 2012
percent
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Farmer’s Infrastructure Rating
Poor Excellent 1 2 3 4 5 N/A No Response Rail lines 10% 39% 17% 4% 9% 12% Interstates 1% 3% 29% 11% Primary state highways 38% 33% 6% Paved county roads 5% 14% 37% 28% Unimproved gravel roads 20% 36% Waterways 27% 2% 23% 17
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Farmer’s Marketing Hindrances
Not at all Somewhat Definitely 1 2 3 4 5 N/A No Response Trucking costs 14% 11% 26% 19% 16% 4% Bridge weight restrictions 29% 12% 20% 13% Rail service costs 8% 17% Rail access 23% 10% 15% Rail service reliability 18% Road weight restrictions 31% 24% 9% 3% Elevator unloading time 22% 18
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Grain Handlers Results
About 1.09 billion bushels of corn and 311 million bushels of soybeans were processed or shipped. More than 2 million tons of ethanol co-products were handled during the 2006/07 marketing year. Nearly 34 million bushels of corn and 11 million bushels of soybeans were containerized by Iowa grain handlers. Corn shipments 1999/2000: 43% by truck, 57% by rail 2006/07: 66% by truck, 30% by rail
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Handler Markets for Corn
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Handler Markets for Corn
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Shifting Markets for Corn Handlers
percent
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Handler Markets for Soybeans
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Handler Markets for Soybeans
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Shifting Markets for Soy Handlers
percent
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Handlers – Corn Transport
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Handlers – Soybean Transport
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Handler’s Infrastructure Rating
Poor Excellent 1 2 3 4 5 N/A No Response Rail lines 4% 9% 33% 8% 0% 36% 11% Interstates 1% 2% 42% 41% 6% 5% Primary state highways 15% 48% 25% 3% Paved county roads 22% 44% 24% Unimproved gravel roads 10% 26% 46% 12% Waterways 29% 7% 43% 13% 28
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Handler’s Marketing Hindrances
Not at all Somewhat Definitely 1 2 3 4 5 N/A No Response Trucking costs 4% 11% 24% 28% 2% 3% Availability of seasonal labor 10% 12% 25% 21% 26% Elevator storage capacity 7% 30% 5% Rail service costs 13% 6% 8% 15% 44% Elevator unloading time 27% Bridge weight restrictions 18% 14% Rail access 17% 33% 29
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Corn Processor Results
2 billion gallons of ethanol were produced Ethanol accounted for 85% of total dollar sales 92% of corn needs met by Iowa corn Average corn shipping distance: 32 miles Average ethanol shipping distance: By truck in Iowa = 98 miles By rail to other states = 955 miles
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Ethanol and Co-Product Markets
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Ethanol Markets Note: Percentage sold to
other states and countries = 52%
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DDG Markets Note: Percentage sold to
other states and countries = 25.5%
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Soybean Processors Results
Nearly 757 billion pounds of soybean oil and 6.8 million tons of soybean meal were produced 73% do not expect to expand capacity 95% of processed soybeans were from Iowa Average truck haul of soybeans: 48 miles Average soybean meal shipping distance: In-state: Truck: 69 miles Other states: Truck: 362 miles; Rail: 1,242 miles
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Soybean Processors Results
Soybean oil sales for industrial use In-state: 36.5% Other states: 63.5% Soybean oil sales for food use Other states dominate Soybean meal and oil sales account for 37% and 29% of total dollar sales, respectively.
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Soybean Meal Markets Note: Percentage sold to
other states and countries = 33.3%
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Biodiesel Producers Results
Biodiesel represented 94% of total dollar sales 40% capacity utilization rate for 2006/07 70% do not plan to add on-site crushing capacity 70% of soybean oil purchased from Iowa sources Average shipping distance = 114 miles (by truck)
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Biodiesel Producers Results
Out-of-state soybean oil: 68% shipped by truck, average haul 126 miles 34% shipped by rail, average haul 371 miles Iowa biodiesel sales: 65% shipped by truck, average haul 67 miles Out-of-state biodiesel sales: 56% shipped by truck, average haul 268 miles 44% shipped by rail, average haul 1,167 miles
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Biodiesel & Glycerin Markets
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Summary Continued demand for corn from the livestock and ethanol industries is expected to generate more demand for in-state transportation. Although the share of export markets decline, the volume may increase given the expanding harvests. The total vehicles owned by farmers continue to decline, however, the number of heavier vehicles (large wagons and semis) is expected to increase.
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Summary Most of the biofuels and co-products were sold to other states, translating to a higher demand for rail services. Interstate highways received the most positive feedback, gravel roads received the least. High transportation costs was the common hurdle for all five surveyed groups. A second round of surveys, this time for the 2007 crop, is being conducted now.
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Thank you for your time. Any questions. My web site: http://www. econ
Thank you for your time! Any questions? My web site: Survey Report:
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