1. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam WFM-6204: Hydrologic Statistics Akm Saiful Islam Syllabus October, 2007 Institute of Water and Flood Management (IWFM) Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET) WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam

2. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics October 2007 Semester Instructor: A.K.M. Saiful Islam Contact: Room No. 306 Tel. 9665650-80, Ext. 7923 (Off.) Email: akmsaifulislam@iwfm.buet.ac.bd Web: http://teacher.buet.ac.bd/akmsaifulislamhttp://teacher.buet.ac.bd/akmsaifulislam

3. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam Goals: This course will provide an introduction to stochastic methods used in hydrology. The level of understanding should, upon completion of the course, be sufficient to understand and appreciate the important issues on stochastic hydrology where statistical methods are used in prediction and interpretation of hydrologic processes.

4. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam Topics in Course Content: 1. Characteristics of hydrologic data; 2. Probability and statistics; 3. Probabilistic analysis; 4. Multiple regression and correlation; 5. Regional analysis; 6. Analysis of hydrologic time series; 7. Sequential generation of hydrologic information; 8. Stochastic models; 9. Statistical decisions.

5. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam Topics to be covered - by Saiful Islam 1. Characteristics of hydrologic data 2. Probability and statistics 3. Probabilistic analysis 4. Multiple regression and correlation 5. Regional analysis

6. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam Topics in details 1. Characteristics of Hydrologic data Review of Probability and statistics Population and Sample Mean, Median and Mode Range, Standard Deviations, Skew ness Histogram, Probability and total probability theorem Hypothesis testing, goodness of fit tests Marginal and derived probability distribution Introduction to Hydrologic statistics

7. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam (Contd..) 2. Probability Distributions and Their Applications Discrete Distributions Binomial distribution Poisson distribution Continuous Distributions Normal distribution Lognormal distribution Gamma distribution Pearson Type III distribution Gumbels Extremal distribution

8. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam (Contd..) 3. Extreme Value theory and Frequency Analysis Introduction to EVT Introduction to Frequency Analysis Analytical Frequency Analysis Normal and Lognormal Distributions Extreme Value Distributions Log-Pearson Type III Distribution Confidence Intervals

9. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam (Contd..) 4. Multiple regression and correlations Correlation and Regression Correlation Partial correlation Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression Regression Diagnostics

10. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam (Contd..) 5. Regional Analysis Index-floor method Multiple regression Regionalize characteristics of frequency distribution Reliability of a regeneration Regionalization of flood stages

11. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam Grading Class Attendance 10% Homework 20% Midterm Exam 30% Final Exam 40%

12. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam Reference Books 1. Haan C.T. (1977) Statistical Methods in Hydrology, The Iowa State University Press, Ames. 2. Warren Viessman and Gary Lewis (2003) Introduction to Hydrology, Prentice Hall. 3. Lecture Notes on Statistics and Probability for Master in Risk Analysis and Management, Prepared by- Dr. M. Shahjahan Mondal In addition, papers in different relevant journals (e.g. Water Resources Research, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, Hydrological Science Journal etc.) would be required.

13. WFM 6204: Hydrologic Statistics © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam Book for regional analysis topic