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Stochastic Frontier Models

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Presentation on theme: "Stochastic Frontier Models"— Presentation transcript:

1 Stochastic Frontier Models
0 Introduction 1 Efficiency Measurement 2 Frontier Functions 3 Stochastic Frontiers 4 Production and Cost 5 Heterogeneity 6 Model Extensions 7 Panel Data 8 Applications William Greene Stern School of Business New York University

2 Range of Applications Regulated industries – railroads, electricity, public services Health care delivery – nursing homes, hospitals, health care systems (WHO) Banking and Finance Many, many (many) other industries. See Lovell and Schmidt survey…

3 Discrete Variables Count data frontier
Outcomes inside the frontier: Preserve discrete outcome Patents (Hofler, R. “A Count Data Stochastic Frontier Model,” Infant Mortality (Fe, E., “On the Production of Economic Bads…”)

4 Count Frontier P(y*|x)=Poisson Model for optimal outcome
Effects the distribution: P(y|y*,x)=P(y*-u|x)= a different count model for the mixture of two count variables Effects the mean:E[y*|x]=λ(x) while E[y|x]=u λ(x) with 0 < u < 1. (A mixture model) Other formulations.

5 Alvarez, Arias, Greene Fixed Management
Yit = f(xit,mi*) where mi* = “management” Actual mi = mi* - ui. Actual falls short of “ideal” Translates to a random coefficients stochastic frontier model Estimated by simulation Application to Spanish dairy farms

6 Fixed Management as an Input Implies Time Variation in Inefficiency

7 Random Coefficients Frontier Model
[Chamberlain/Mundlak: Correlation mi* (not mi-mi*) with xit]

8 Estimated Model First order production coefficients (standard errors). Quadratic terms not shown.

9 Inefficiency Distributions
Without Fixed Management With Fixed Management

10 Holloway, Tomberlin, Irz: Coastal Trawl Fisheries
Application of frontier to coastal fisheries Hierarchical Bayes estimation Truncated normal model and exponential Panel data application Time varying inefficiency The “good captain” effect vs. inefficiency

11 Sports Kahane: Hiring practices in hockey
Output=payroll, Inputs=coaching, franchise measures Efficiency in payroll related to team performance Battese/Coelli panel data translog model Koop: Performance of baseball players Aggregate output: singles, doubles, etc. Inputs = year, league, team Policy relevance? (Just for fun)

12 Macro Performance Koop et al.
Productivity Growth in a stochastic frontier model Country, year, Yit = ft(Kit,Lit)Eitwit Bayesian estimation OECD Countries,

13 Mutual Fund Performance
Standard CAPM Stochastic frontier added Excess return=a+b*Beta +v – u Sub-model for determinants of inefficiency Bayesian framework Pooled various different distribution estimates

14 Energy Consumption Derived input to household and community production
Cost analogy Panel data, statewide electricity consumption: Filippini, Farsi, et al.

15 Hospitals Usually cost studies Multiple outputs – case mix
“Quality” is a recurrent theme Complexity – unobserved variable Endogeneity Rosko: US Hospitals, multiple outputs, panel data, determinants of inefficiency = HMO penetration, payment policies, also includes indicators of heterogeneity Australian hospitals: Fit both production and cost frontiers. Finds large cost savings from removing inefficiency.

16 Law Firms Stochastic frontier applied to service industry
Output=Revenue Inputs=Lawyers, associates/partners ratio, paralegals, average legal experience, national firm Analogy drawn to hospitals literature – quality aspect of output is a difficult problem

17 Farming Hundreds of applications
Major proving ground for new techniques Many high quality, very low level micro data sets O’Donnell/Griffiths – Philippine rice farms Latent class – favorable or unfavorable climate Panel data production model Bayesian – has a difficult time with latent class models. Classical is a better approach

18 Railroads and other Regulated Industries
Filippini – Maggi: Swiss railroads, scale effects etc. Also studied effect of different panel data estimators Coelli – Perelman, European railroads. Distance function. Developed methodology for distance functions Many authors: Electricity (C&G). Used as the standard test data for Bayesian estimators

19 Banking Dozens of studies Typically multiple output cost functions
Wheelock and Wilson, U.S. commercial banks Turkish Banking system Banks in transition countries U.S. Banks – Fed studies (hundreds of studies) Typically multiple output cost functions Development area for new techniques Many countries have very high quality data available

20 Sewers New York State sewage treatment plants
200+ statewide, several thousand employees Used fixed coefficients technology lnE = a + b*lnCapacity + v – u; b < 1 implies economies of scale (almost certain) Fit as frontier functions, but the effect of market concentration was the main interest

21 Summary

22 Inefficiency

23 Methodologies Data Envelopment Analysis Stochastic Frontier Modeling
HUGE User base Largely atheoretical Applications in management, consulting, etc. Stochastic Frontier Modeling More theoretically based – “model” based More active technique development literature Equally large applications pool

24 SFA Models Normal – Half Normal Normal-Gamma, Exponential, Rayleigh
Truncation Heteroscedasticity Heterogeneity in the distribution of ui Normal-Gamma, Exponential, Rayleigh Classical vs. Bayesian applications Flexible functional forms for inefficiency There are yet others in the literature

25 Modeling Settings Production and Cost Models Multiple output models
Cost functions Distance functions, profits and revenue functions

26 Modeling Issues Appropriate model framework Cost, production, etc.
Functional form How to handle observable heterogeneity – “where do we put the zs?” Panel data Is inefficiency time invariant? Separating heterogeneity from inefficiency Dealing with endogeneity Allocative inefficiency and the Greene problem

27 Range of Applications Regulated industries – railroads, electricity, public services Health care delivery – nursing homes, hospitals, health care systems (WHO, AHRQ) Banking and Finance Many other industries. See Lovell and Schmidt “Efficiency and Productivity” 27 page bibliography. Table of over 200 applications since 2000


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