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Ohio’s Experience with AYP
April 12, 2004 Ohio’s Experience with AYP Presentation to the American Educational Research Association Mitchell D. Chester April 12, 2004 Mitchell D. Chester
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Pre-Implementation Concerns
Over-identification Accountability for students with disabilities Volatility of results
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Presentation Outline Ohio’s accountability system 2002-03 AYP results
Measures employed to increase validity and reliability Conclusions
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Ohio’s Accountability System
School and district rating criteria results
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Ohio's Experience with AYP
April 12, 2004 Ohio Rating Criteria Mitchell D. Chester
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Ohio's Experience with AYP
April 12, 2004 Ohio Rating Criteria Mitchell D. Chester
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Ohio's Experience with AYP
April 12, 2004 Ohio Rating Criteria Mitchell D. Chester
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Ohio's Experience with AYP
April 12, 2004 Ohio Rating Criteria Mitchell D. Chester
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Ohio's Experience with AYP
April 12, 2004 Ohio Rating Criteria Mitchell D. Chester
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District Designations
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School Designations
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2002-03 AYP Results AYP within rating categories
School Improvement within rating categories Disentangling the AYP categories
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AYP within Ohio’s Rating Categories
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AYP within Ohio’s Rating Categories
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AYP within Ohio’s Rating Categories
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AYP within Ohio’s Rating Categories
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AYP within Ohio’s Rating Categories
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School Improvement within Ohio’s Rating Categories
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AYP Categories
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AYP Categories
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AYP Categories
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AYP Categories
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AYP & Students with Disabilities
Total Missing AYP Missed Solely Because of SWD Schools 808 42 / 5.2% Districts 317 180 / 56.8%
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AYP & Limited English Proficient Students
Total Missing AYP Missed Solely Because of LEP Schools 808 1 / 0.1% Districts 317 2 / 0.6%
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Measures Employed to Increase Validity and Reliability
Safe Harbor Averaging Other
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AYP: Impact of Safe Harbor
Total Meeting AYP Met Because of Safe Harbor Schools 2,407 52 / 2.2% Districts 292 19 / 6.5%
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AYP: Impact of Averaging
Total Meeting AYP Met Because of Averaging Schools 2,407 116 / 4.8% Districts 292 16 / 5.5%
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Other Measures Tests of statistical significance Confidence intervals
Minimum N
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Conclusions AYP impact was lowest of pre-implementation estimates Participation was not an issue Need better understanding of false positives / false negatives
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Conclusions (continued)
Volatility of results needs careful attention Consequential validity is the “main event”
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