1. INFORMATION SOCIETY E-SOCIETY
2/22/2019
M. Gams

2. INFORMATION SOCIETY
End of PC’s?

3. New world of information society! Integration of the two worlds.
ELECTRONIC WORLD
Collapse of time, space.

4. E-business

5. Information growth

6. Possibilities

8. Information Society
"Study: Net Fueling Global Job Boom" E-Commerce Times (08/29/00); Enos, Lori
  Jobs created by the Internet economy in the United States and six
European countries will exceed 10 million by 2002, concludes a new study,
"Internet Enabled Job Creation and the Digital Revolution," from Andersen
Consulting. The study reports that the Internet will be the cause of 3 million
jobs in Spain, Italy, France, Germany, Ireland, and the United Kingdom, and
5.8 million jobs in the United States by Internet-related industries will
create an additional 2 million jobs.
Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore this week on his Web site released an economic plan to create 10 million new high-tech jobs over the next 10 years by focusing on IT training initiatives. Under Gore's plan companies would receive a $6,000 tax credit per worker for IT training. The plan also calls for a tax credit of as much as $2,800 for expenses related to higher education. Gore says his job plan would encourage favorable policies for the high-tech and e-commerce industries. Noting that the IT market has accounted for almost a third of U.S. economic growth in recent years, Gore says the government and private industry should both strive to "make the Internet as common as the telephone."

9. Economy
"Greenspan Upbeat on Technology" Washington Post (08/26/00) P. E1; Berry, John M.
 Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, cited technology as the main reason for the continued growth of productivity in the United States. Greenspan said, "The most recent wave of technology has engendered a pronounced rise in American rates of return on high-tech investments, which has led to a stepped-up pace of capital [spending] and increased productivity growth." He also noted that technology has improved trade and the integration of the world's economies. … 6 percent for the 12-month period ended this June. This growth continues to amaze economists, who did not expect to see such prolonged growth without an accompanying rise in inflation.

10. Overseas Tech Jobs Proliferate
· "San Francisco Chronicle (06/01/03) P. I1; Zuckerman, Sam; Kirby, Carrie: The attraction of transferring technology operations overseas where labor is cheaper, and is transforming Silicon Valley and eroding its role as a low-end software developer. Forrester reckons that 3.3 million service-sector positions--approximately 473,000 computer industry jobs among them--will migrate to nations such as India, the Philippines, China, and Russia by Marc Hebert of Sierra Atlantic predicts that in several years' time 50% of all Silicon Valley software firms will keep only 20% of their technical personnel in the United States, while the 80% that account for software support and maintenance will move offshore. Although saving money is the primary reason companies are moving tech projects overseas, another major lure is the increasing proficiency and productivity of foreign computer scientists and engineers. … is "a serious economic threat to American workers," while advocates counter that outsourcing is an inevitable consequence of the global economy, one that gives American businesses room to expand both inside and outside the United States.  

11. Needs for IT Workers

12. USA Visas for IT Workers
Table 1: USA visas
,000
,000
,000

13. BASIC I.S. LAWS Moore’s law (exponential growth )
Metcalf’s law: value(network) = square(no. of nodes)
Sidgemor’s law (exponential growth of net traffic)
Andreesen … net capitalism = frictionless economy

14. ZAKONI INFORMACIJSKE DRUŽBE
mMetcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes
Moore's Law
Metcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes
Sidgemore's Law - traffic doubles every three months
Andreesen's Law - cost of bandwidth is dropping
Lewis/Flemig's Law - friction-free economy
Put on the Internet all your information and information activities
The cyber-world doubles fortune
Side effect of information society is information overload
Information society demands intensive information knowledge for
successful leadership
Information society belongs to all of us
The Internet is the most democratic and free media in the world
The Internet and information society are our hope for the future

15. Background - Information Society
new breed/generation
new technology, old thinking
nothing new last year?
predicting the future

16. What is new?
Info <> material
1 page of bits? No smell, no mass papers
Trillions of bits travel daily
Generation gaps
TCP/IP 1 mail – many peaces distributed, very robust
Everybody has access to the whole world in both directions
Multimedia – speech, NLU
Law – pornography
E-money order through Web
Privacy? Viruses (2000 s), worms, spying
Kids help grand..
Owning the Web

17. Trends of progress
Information society: quick changes, from local to global, non-determined world,
Infosphere: handling information

18. Which info to handle?
Mass media – daily papers, weekly journals … (paper)
Scientific/popular journals
Books, manuals … paper
TV, teletext, interactive TV
Computer (Intranet, Extranet, Internet, local connections) electronic
Human comm.
Examples of mass deceptions: - politicians - boxing - p. games

19. Predicting the future 1876: telephones are useless
In 1950: by 2000 super-intelligent computer (much faster HW)
1950: the whole world needs 10 computers
In 1960: by 1980 home robots
1977: there will be no home computers
Average human will live to 100 y.

20. New products Intelligent house int. housekeeping int. car services ...
business
TV-computer
Media/speech/ understanding
Napster, movies
Internet guides local-global
Education – MIT
Encyclopedia
Games – through the Internet

21. Another Saturation Soon! Computer Generations
Generation no.
Generation name
Major occupation I.
Machine-level
Hardware
II.
Programming
Writing programs
III.
Tools
Data, text manipulation
IV.
Information society
Information services, Internet

22. Human Generations Generation no. Generation name Main object I.
Agrarian
Food
II.
Industrial
Production
III.
Post-industrial
Services
IV.
Information

23. IS Impact on Humans (Lewis)
Generation name
Duration
Comm. Speed
Agrarian
years
3-5 km/h human
Industrial
30-50 horse, car
Post-industrial
30-50
airplane
Information
3-5
network

24. Human Saturation Info clock << biological clock
Terminal velocity
Conflict between biological and information clock
Humans can’t cope with information overflow
Solution:
WE NEED
INTELLIGENT ASSISTANTS

25. Computer Generations Assistant Generation no. Generation name Status
Machine-level
Slave
II.
Programming
III.
Tools
IV.
Information society
Assistant

26. Moore’s Law

27. Saturation – When?

28. Intelligent Revolution Far Away! Memory

29. Human Saturation Info clock << biological clock
Terminal velocity
Conflict between biological and information clock
Humans can’t cope with information overflow
Solution:
WE NEED
INTELLIGENT ASSISTANTS

30. Discussion
Information society – a great opportunity for IT educated technological, human, social
Intelligent assistants - SW generation with some degree of freedom when executing tasks
We need information society to progress – and not to lag behind
Personally – a great decision!