1. Climate and Energy in a Complex Transition Process towards Sustainability in Hyderabad - Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies by Changing Institutions, Governance Structures, Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns
Guiding Research Question:
How can climate and energy security be gained in a fast growing Indian mega-city facing climate change (CC)?
Focal Points:
Five overarching sectors that are investigated with respect to potential CC impacts, mitigation and adaptation potential for a more sustainable urban development:
Food security
Transport system
Water/energy/environment nexus
Health
Energy security

2. Project coordinator is the HUB: Prof. Hagedorn and Ramesh Chennamaneni
Climate and Energy in a Complex Transition Process towards Sustainability in Hyderabad - Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies by Changing Institutions, Governance Structures, Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns
Selection of Partnering Research Institutes in India:
The Energy and Resources Institute, Delhi
Center for Economic and Social Sciences (CESS),
Administrative Staff College of India (ASCI),
Engineering Staff College of India – Climate Change Centre
Regional Center for Environment and Urban Studies at Osmania University (RCEUS-OU), and
International Crop Research Institute for Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT)
PLUS many NGOs & government offices on diff. levels:
Confederation of Voluntary Associations (COVA)
Forum for a better Hyderabad (FORUM)
Government of Andhra Pradesh,
Municipal Corporation of Hyderabad (MCH),
Hyderabad Urban Development Authority (HUDA),
Chamber of Indian Industry (CII)
Research Partners in Germany:
Division of Resource Economics at Humboldt University of Berlin (HUB) (Coordinator, energy structure & market, governance structures),
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) (CC: impacts modelling, adaptation options, perception, lifestyles, mitigation & carbon footprint),
Department of Cultural Geography, Uni.Freiburg (CULT-GEO) (food security, health),
PTV (Traffic Mobility Logistics) in Karlsruhe (transport management),
NEXUS GmbH in Berlin (communicaton & participation), and
Institute for Cooperative Sciences at HUB (IfG) (consumer cooperatives)
Project coordinator is the HUB: Prof. Hagedorn and Ramesh Chennamaneni

3. Two important findings : Certainty of climate change projections
Most vulnerable population groups
Lüdeke/Reckien/Kit/Sterzel/Budde/Bahrenhoff/Schärf et al.

4. Climate Change projections and their uncertainty for Hyderabad
Main Methodological Elements:
two global CO2-emission scenarios, describing a high and low emission future A2: business as usual and B2: global emission reduction from about 2035 on
model runs of 17 global circulation models using the above emission scenarios (done for IPCC, AR4)
downscaling of global model runs for the Hyderabad area
degree of certainty is assessed by consensus amongst the model runs
weighting: ability of a model to reproduce the present climate is considered in final projection results
Lüdeke, MKB; Budde, M; Kit, O; Reckien, D
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, September 2010

5. Climate Change projections and their uncertainty for Hyderabad
Lüdeke, MKB; Budde, M; Kit, O; Reckien, D
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, September 2010

6. Climate Change projections and their uncertainty for Hyderabad
Lüdeke, MKB; Budde, M; Kit, O; Reckien, D
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, September 2010

7. 50% impact reduction under the Low Emission scenario
Stormwater drainage infrastructure in Hyderabad under Climate Change:
People affected by extreme precipitation events (ceteris paribus)
Extreme Daily Precipitation in Hyderabad
once-in-2-years percentile
Lüdeke et al, 2010
Locations of
Critical Flow
Accumulation
50% B1 A2 B1 A2
2000
2050
2100
all IPCC-AR4 runs
Increase of people
severely affected B1 A2
Kit et al.
2011
50% impact reduction under the Low Emission scenario
Lüdeke/Reckien/Kit/Sterzel/Budde/Bahrenhoff/Schärf et al.

8. Which Hyderabad will be hit by future climate change?
Values in % of the actual population. District level household survey, IIPS
->> Fraction of slum population Hyderabad grows/will grow
=>> the percentage of the most vulnerable population group will grow
Lüdeke/Reckien/Kit/Sterzel/Budde/Bahrenhoff/Schärf et al.

9. SLI-Definition Source of drinking water:
3 for Tap (own), 2 for Tap (shared), 1 for hand pump and well, and 0 for other;
Type of house:
4 for pucca, 2 for semi-pucca, and 0 for kachcha;
Source of lighting:
2 for electricity, 1 for kerosene, and 0 for other;
Fuel for cooking:
2 for LPG gas/electricity, 1 for kerosene and 0 for other;
Toilet facility:
4 for own flush toilet, 2 for own pit toilet, 2 for shared toilet and 0 for no toilet;
Ownership of durables:
4 each for car and tractor, 3 each for television, telephone and motorcycle/ scooter, and 2 each for fan, radio/transistor, sewing machine and bicycle.
The scores when totaled may vary from a lowest of 0 to a maximum of 40.
On the basis of total score, households are divided into three categories:
a) Low – if the total score is less than or equal to 9,
b) Medium – if the total score is greater than 9 but less than or equal to 19 and
c) High – if the total score is greater than 19.
From:
Reproductive and Child Health
District Level Household Survey (DLHS-2)
India
Suggested citation:
International Institute for population Sciences (IIPS), District Level Household Survey (DLHS-2), : India. Mumbai: IIPS. National_Report_RCH-II-1.pdf
Lüdeke/Reckien/Kit/Sterzel/Budde/Bahrenhoff/Schärf et al.

10. Sattelite based slum identification in Hyderabad
Kit/Lüdeke/Reckien, Appl. Geogr., acc.
Lüdeke/Reckien/Kit/Sterzel/Budde/Bahrenhoff/Schärf et al.

11. Hotspots of vulnerability under extreme precipitation events in Hyderabad
Lüdeke/Reckien/Kit/Sterzel/Budde/Bahrenhof/Schärf et al.

12. „CATHY“ planning tool incooperation with HMDA

14. „CATHY“ planning tool incooperation with HMDA

15. THANK YOU
Lüdeke/Reckien/Kit/Sterzel/Budde/Bahrenhoff/Schärf et al.

16. Climate and Energy in a Complex Transition Process towards Sustainability in Hyderabad - Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies by Changing Institutions, Governance Structures, Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns
PIK contribution: Sustainable Adaptation to and Mitigation of CC with respect to Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns
WP1:
Potential Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation
Objectives:
Identification of expected regional CC signals
Identification of qualitative impact nets of signals on mentioned sectors
Quantitative modelling with “CATHY-Climate Assessment Tool for Hyderabad” for the regional planning authority, GIS-based online tool
Identification of potential adaptation options with respect to the expected impacts
WP2.1:
Knowledge and Concepts on Mitigation and Adaptation in Lifestyles, Consumption and Health
Objectives:
Political, social and technological framework, e.g. stakeholder analysis, perception of climate change
Conditions of energy & other emission sources
Conducting “socio-technical experiments” to support mitigation of CC in low & middle class households
Identification of potential adaptation options not interfering with mitigation potentials

17. Some results:
Examples of qualitative impact nets:
… towards an understanding
of CC adaptation and
mitigation impacts
Impact nets as a tool to communicate
Results of CC, to raise awareness,
and to evaluate adaptation
measures

18. Examples of
qualitative impact
nets :
… towards an
understanding of
CC adaptation and
mitigation impacts
Emission pathways
as a tool
to communicate
CC, to raise awareness,
and to evaluate
mitigation
options