1. Module D How External Users Assess Management’s Operating Decisions

2. How External Users Assess Management’s Operating Decisions
Topics
Statement of cash flows operating activities section, indirect method
Operating activities and profitability ratios
Operating activities and risk ratios
Common financial statement analysis issues related to operating items

3. Statement of Cash Flows: Operating Activities, Indirect Method
Under the indirect method:
Operating activities section starts with net income and uses reconciling items to arrive at cash flow from operating activities.
This SCF tells them WHAT?

4. Indirect Method Format
Net Income
Add (Deduct)
Non-cash expenses: depreciation, depletion, amortization (1)
(Non-cash revenues) e.g., investment income for securities accounted for under the equity method (1)
Losses (gains) on sale (2)
Decreases (increases) in operational current assets and deferred income tax assets(3)
Increases (decreases) in operational current liabilities and deferred income tax liabilities(3)
Net cash flows from operating activities

5. Notes:
(1)Non-cash expenses and revenues affect net income, but not cash
(2)Gains and losses are non-operational in nature for most companies
(3)These reconciling items adjust from accrual basis effects, which are reflected in net income, to cash basis effects

6. As with all targets, financial and otherwise, management should state in advance exactly what we are shooting for … because, if we aim for nothing we are likely to hit it!

7. Operating Activities and Profitability Ratios
Return on Assets (ROA)
ROA =
net profit margin ratio × asset turnover ratio
Net profit margin ratio =
[net income + (1-t) interest expense]  sales
Asset turnover ratio =
sales  average total assets

8. Effect on ROA
Successful operations increase sales, which should increase ROA!
Increases in receivables and inventory decrease ROA.

9. Inventory turnover ratio =
Cost of goods sold  Average inventory
All other things being equal, an increased ratio is good news!
Increases in inventory decrease the ratio
Increases in cost of goods sold increase the ratio
If gross profit percentage is dropping, an increase may not be good news!

10. Operating Activities and Risk Ratios
Operating cash flow to capital expenditures ratio =
Operating cash flow  Capital expenditures
A ratio greater than 1.0 likely means that a company is generating enough cash flow from operations to meet demand for capital investments.
An increased ratio means less risk!

11. Operating cash flow to total liabilities ratio =
Operating cash flow  Average total liabilities
Successful operations increase the ratio.

12. (Income before income taxes + Interest expense) Interest expense
Interest coverage ratio =
(Income before income taxes + Interest expense) Interest expense
Successful operations increase cash flow, which decreases the need to borrow to finance operations; therefore increasing the ratio and decreasing risk!
A ratio of 1.0 means that the company is generating enough pretax profit to [barely] meet the carrying costs of debt financing. Sometimes called the “thin ice ratio.”

13. Common Financial Statement Analysis Issues Related to Operating Items
Inventory
Bad debts expense
Deferred income taxes
Pensions and other post-employment benefits

14. Financial Statement Analysis: Inventory
Companies may use different inventory methods (e.g., LIFO, FIFO, average).
Financial analysts wanting to compare companies may “restate” financial statements and use a single method across companies.
Companies that use LIFO present information about the “LIFO Reserve” in notes to the financial statements.
The “LIFO Reserve” is the difference, if any (during inflation), between LIFO inventory and another inventory method, usually FIFO.

15. Fresh Brands, Inc. 10-K FYE 12/28/2002

16. Financial Statement Analysis: Bad Debts
Analysts track the following amounts over time
Ratio of bad debts expense to sales
Ratio of allowance for bad debts to accounts receivable
These ratios can raise red flags if they increase without appropriate explanation

17. Financial Statement Analysis: Deferred Income Taxes
Deferred income taxes liabilities
For companies in the introduction and growth stage, deferred income tax liabilities may be viewed as (reclassified as) equity.
For companies in the maturity or decline stage, classification as a liability is appropriate.

18. Financial Statement Analysis: Pensions and Other Post-Employment Benefits
Three adjustments are possible
Adjust from the balance sheet amount to the economic status of the plan if the economic status of the plan is a liability and a larger liability than the balance sheet liability amount (a conservative approach). A very common approach!

19. Adjust from the balance sheet amount to the economic status of the plan regardless of whether the economic status is an asset or liability.

20. Consolidate the pension plan with the company:
Treat plan obligations as liabilities and plan assets as investments on the balance sheet.
Treat service costs, interest cost, and expected return on plan assets as line items on the income statement.

21. End of Module D