1. The Return of Religion in Western Europe?
Demography and Politics

11. Conclusion
Northwest Europe (and probably all of western Europe) will likely be more religious in 2100 than in 2000 on current trends because:
Secularisation rates have slowed dramatically, to the point of stalling
Religious women have 10-20% higher fertility, all else equal
Non-European immigrants are far more religious
Muslim immigrants retain their religiosity

12. Religious people are more conservative, and more conservative people vote for right-wing parties, BUT immigrants vote for left-wing parties
Thus much will depend on how parties – especially conservative ones - position their strategy vis a vis religious immigrants
Ethnic cleavage (Europe) v Religious cleavage (USA)?