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Problem Solving and Decision Making Skills
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Session Outline Problem Solving / Decision / Decision Making
Factors affecting decision making Decision making process Ethical Decision Making
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Triple Constraint Principle
Time Cost Problem Performance Something is a problem if: It makes you LATE It increases COST It degrades PERFORMANCE
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Problem Solving If a problem is a gap between two states, then problem solving is 'the process of closing that gap, i.e. changing the current state into the desired one.'
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ANALYSE Problem Seen Un Seen
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Problem “In a day, when you don’t come across any problems- you can be sure that you are traveling in a wrong path.” Swami Vivekananda A problem is a situation or a state of affairs that causes difficulties for people. It is also a gap between a current and a desired state. The gap may be viewed as the difference between 'what is' and 'what should be' or 'where we are' and 'where we want to be'.
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Problem Solving If a problem is a gap between two states, then problem solving is 'the process of closing that gap, i.e. changing the current state into the desired one.'
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Forethought Some are easy like… Some are difficult like…
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Personal
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Cable Car Rope way
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Decision making Combination of mental, physical and behavioral processes related to: Rationale Resources Results Resolution
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Decision Making Decision making is a cognitive process leading to the selection of a course of action among the alternatives, and enabling to act for producing desired results. Decision making is a series of logical steps to reach at the agreement for moving forward. Systematic response to a problem situation or forward moving through intelligence, understanding, analysis, rational logical selection, preparedness for implementation.
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Krishna Seekh - Impact of decision making in our lives.mp4
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Decision making- essence of managerial function
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Decisions in Planning What are the organization’s long term goals?
What strategies best achieve these objectives? What should the organization’s short term objectives be? How difficult should individual goals be?
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Decisions in Organizing
How many employees should I have report directly to me? How much centralization should there be in the organization? How should jobs be designed? When should the organization implement a different structure?
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Decisions in Leading How do I handle employees who appear to be low in motivation? What is the most effective leadership style in a given situation? How will a specific change affect worker productivity? When is the right time to stimulate conflict?
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Decisions in Controlling
What activities in the organization need to be controlled? How should those activities be controlled? When is a performance deviation significant? What type of management information system should the organization have?
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Factors Influencing Decision Making
Cognitive and personal biases Emotional bias Skills and competencies Situational factors Instrumental factors Political and legal factors Economic and financial factors Technological factors Socio-Cultural factors
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Ethical Decision Making
An ethical dilemma is one in which a person has to choose between two options, both of which are morally correct but in conflict. Ethical Dilemma_(360p).mp4
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Ethical Framework for Decision Making
Five Sources of Ethical Standards for Decision Making The Utilitarian Approach The ethical action is the one that will produce the greatest balance of benefits over harms. The Rights Approach The ethical action is the one that most dutifully respects the rights of all affected. The Fairness or Justice Approach The ethical action is the one that treats people equally, or if unequally, that treats people proportionately and fairly. The Common Good Approach The ethical action is the one that contributes most to the achievement of a quality common life together. Virtue Approach The ethical action is the one that embodies the habits and values of humans at their best.
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The utilitarian approach
Which option will produce the most good and do the least harm? The rights approach Which option best respects the rights of all stakeholders? The fairness or justice approach Which option treats people equally or proportionately? The common good approach Which option best serves the community as a whole, not just some members? The virtue approach Which option leads me to act as the sort of person I want to be?
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Exercise – Assessment – Test Yourself
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Result A score ranging from 41 to 48 is ‘above average’ to ‘’excellent’ and suggests a strong capacity for decision making. A score ranging from 30 to 40 is ‘average’, while a score of 29 or lower is ‘below average’.
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Rational Decision Making Process
Issue or problem: agenda setting Analysis of issue or problem: Interpretation, identification and understanding SWOT ANALYSIS PEST ANALYSIS STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS SPOILER ANALYSIS Designing alternatives Examination/assessment of alternatives Pre-decision phase Problem Setting : Separate fact from opinion and speculation Avoid stating the problem as disguised solution State the problem explicitly Specify underlying causes Identify what standard is violated by the problem
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Re-decision phase Decision phase Post-decision phase
Ranking the alternatives Determination Choice Preparedness for implementation Action plan Monitoring Feedback Evaluation Re-decision phase Acknowledging the lessons learnt Reformed/improved decision making
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Assumption of rational decision making
Problem clarity Known options Clear preference Constant preference Not time or cost constraints Maximum pay off
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Models of decision making
DM Models Use This Model When: Rational Information on alternatives can be gathered and quantified Decisions are important You are trying to maximize your outcome. Bounded rationality The minimum criteria are clear. You do not have or you are not willing to invest much time to make the decision. You are not trying to maximize your outcome
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Models of decision making
DM Models Use This Model When: Intuitive Goals are unclear. There is time pressure and analysis paralysis would be costly. You have experience with the problem. Creative Solutions to the problem are not clear. New solutions need to be generated. You have time to immerse yourself in the issues
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Decision making tools Problem Restatement technique SWOT analysis
Pareto principle: 80% of unfocussed effort generates only 20% of results. The remaining 80% of results are achieved with only 20% of the effort Brainstorming Cause and effect Cost benefit analysis Six thinking Hat Problem Restatement Technique Broaden our perspective of a problem, not to solve it Help us identify the central issues & alternative solutions Increase the chance that the outcome our analysis produces will fully, not partially, resolve the problem Decision Making Tools 50. II- SWOT Analysis: 1- Strength 2- Weaknesses 3- Opportunities 4- Threats Decision Making Tools 51. III- Pareto Principle: 80% of unfocussed effort generates only 20% of results. The remaining 80% of results are achieved with only 20% of the effort. Decision Making Tools 52. Decision Making Tools Individual Brainstorming: 1. Tends to develop fewer ideas, but takes each idea further 2. Can be risky for individuals. Valuable but strange suggestions may appear stupid at first sight. Group Brainstorming: 1. It is best for generating many ideas, but can be time consuming 2. Needs formal rules for it to work smoothly( Disagreements) 3. Group brainstorming sessions are usually enjoyable experiences, which are great for creating cohesion in a team IV- Brainstorming: No criticism of ideas, free rein is given to creativity 53. Decision Making Tools V- Cause& Effect VI- Porter’s 5 Forces: 54. VII- Cost Benefit Analysis: Cost/benefit analysis – evaluating quantitatively whether to follow a course of action. Add up the value of the benefits of a course of action and subtract the costs associated with it. Decision Making Tools 55. VII- Six Thinking Hats- Tools/ Framework Creative Positive Objective Feelings Negative Process Avoid confusion Parallel Thinking = cooperation
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Six Cs of Decision making
Construct: A clear picture of precisely what must be decided Compile: A list of requirements that must be met Collect: Information on alternatives that meet the requirements Compare: Alternatives that meet the requirements Consider: The “what might go wrong” factor with each alternative Commit: To a decision and follow through with it.
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Personal trap in decision making
Not willing to come out of comfort zone Fear and biasness in thinking and analysis Getting lost in minutia Seeking unanimous approval Willing to decide beyond authority
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System trap in decision making
Too little, inaccurate or wrong information Overlook viable alternatives or waste time considering alternatives beyond realistic prospects Not following the six Cs Failure to clearly define the expected results Worst of all, failure to reach a decision
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“Maybe pushing on that wall to the left will give some space.”
System thinking is crucial “Maybe pushing on that wall to the left will give some space.”
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“Oops!”
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Considerations Priority Ethics Standards Implementation
Teams and Network Technicalities Indecisiveness and Decline Diversity Risk propensity
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“WE SELDOM HAVE TIME FOR THE IMPORTANT BECAUSE WE ARE WORKING
ON THE IMMEDIATE AND THE IMMEDIATE IS SELDOM THE IMPORTANT” - Peter Drucker
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“Think Laterally, and be creative.”
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