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2006 General Meeting Assemblée générale 2006 Chicago, Illinois

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Presentation on theme: "2006 General Meeting Assemblée générale 2006 Chicago, Illinois"— Presentation transcript:

1 2006 General Meeting Assemblée générale 2006 Chicago, Illinois
Canadian Institute of Actuaries L’Institut canadien des actuaires 2006 General Meeting Assemblée générale 2006 Chicago, Illinois

2 IP-20: Stochastic Interest Rate Modeling in Life Insurance Pricing
Nazir Valani, FCIA, FSA, MAAA

3 Practical Example Generate 5,000 scenarios using AXIS to be used for pricing

4 Practical Example Interest Rate Models in AXIS: Correlated Monte Carlo
(2) 2 factor Log Normal (3) Calibrated Correlated Monte Carlo (4) Prescribed CALM scenarios

5 Practical Example Equity Rate Models in AXIS: Correlated Monte Carlo
(2) Correlated Log Normal (3) Regime Switching Log Normal (RSLN - Mary Hardy) (4) Stochastic Asset Model (Wilkie)

6 Practical Example Equity Models in use:
(1) Regime Switching Log Normal (RSLN – CIA & SOA) (2) Stochastic Log Volatility (SLV - AAA) (3) Cox Ingersol Ross (being programmed in AXIS) Mary Hardy Paper

7 Practical Example Generate 5,000 EQUITY scenarios using AXIS to be used for pricing RSLN (2 regimes) (1) good regime (+ve return/ low volatility) (2) bad regime (-ve return/ high volatility)

8 Practical Example Computer Farm: AXIS GridLink - 32 processors
- run times


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