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Published byIsaac Stone Modified over 6 years ago
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The Law of Complements P(A) = 1 – P(AC) Or P(AC) = 1 – P(A)
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1 This is just like the dice problem from earlier.
What is the probability of rolling a number greater than 4? Since P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5) + P(6) + P(7) + P(8) + P(9) + P(10) + P(11) + P(12) = 1 P(greater than 4) = 1 – P(4 or less) = 1 – 6/36 = 1 – 1/6 = 5/6 Law of Complements
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A certain blood disease appears in 1. 5% of the population
A certain blood disease appears in 1.5% of the population. When testing for this disease, to save time and resources, a lab mixes 5 blood samples into one and tests the one sample at once. P(one person testing positive) = 0.015 P(one person testing negative) = 0.985 Negative result means: Here are the possibilities: Positive result means: At least one of them is infected so all five have to be retested individually All five people are not infected Sample Space + − + + + +
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Find the probability that a given combination of five samples will produce a positive result.
There are many different ways to get a positive result so we would have to add all of the probabilities of each combination of negatives and positives. But there is only one way to get a negative result… In order to get a positive result, we only need one positive but there could be more. Negative result means: Positive result means: At least one of them is infected so all five have to be retested individually All five people are not infected Sample Space − There are actually 31 different ways for at least one positive to appear.
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So instead of adding all of the positive combinations, we can just find the probability of the one negative combination and… Subtract it from 1 Negative result means: Positive result means: At least one of them is infected so all five have to be retested individually All five people are not infected Sample Space − P(positive result) = 1 – P(negative result) P(positive result) = 1 – (0.985)5 = 0.0728
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