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RECENT POLICY DEVELOPMENTS

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Presentation on theme: "RECENT POLICY DEVELOPMENTS"— Presentation transcript:

1 RECENT POLICY DEVELOPMENTS
IN THE MEXICAN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR Andrés Casco Flores San Diego, California Febrero 2000

2 OUTSTANDING ASPECTS OF THE RURAL ECONOMY
SAGAR OUTSTANDING ASPECTS OF THE RURAL ECONOMY IN MEXICO For the period , the share of the agri-food sector in the Gross Domestic Production was on average 11.4 per cent . ESTRUCTURE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTION 1998 p/ FUENTE: Elaborado con base en datos del INEGI. p/ Cifras preliminares correspondientes al PIB trimestral. Other Activities 20.8% Services 68.2% Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 5.8% Processe Food, Beverages and Tobacco 5.2%

3 OUTSTANDING ASPECTS OF THE RURAL ECONOMY
SAGAR OUTSTANDING ASPECTS OF THE RURAL ECONOMY IN MEXICO Productivity in units of less than 5 ha. ranges from tons. Productivity in larger units migh reach 8-10 tons. 0-2 ha 100.0 16.8 5.4 57.8 20.0 2-5 26.8 8.0 49.6 15.7 70% of the producers 5-10 ha 100.0 37.7 9.6 35.8 16.9 10-18 44.9 10.3 28.5 16.2 >18 61.8 10.5 24.3 3.4 30% of the producers Total Income Agriculture Livestock Non Agriculture Activities Migration from Mx to US Total 100.0 40.9 9.2 36.4 13.5

4 AGRICULTURAL POLICY IN MEXICO AND SUPPORT PROGRAMS IN THE RURAL SECTOR
SAGAR AGRICULTURAL POLICY IN MEXICO AND SUPPORT PROGRAMS IN THE RURAL SECTOR PROCAMPO Applicable since 1994 for supporting the income of the producers of grains and oilseeds. The eligible crops are: maize, beans, wheat, sorghum, rice, soybean, safflower, cotton and barley. The elegible acreage must be used in crops, livestock, forestry or conservation uses. PROCAMPO has benefit an average of 13.7 millions of ha. annually. More than half of the total acreage benefited belongs to producers with less than 10 ha. per unit of production, and represents more than one fourth of their income.

5 SAGAR ALIANZA PARA EL CAMPO This Program operates under a decentralize scheme. The decisions are taken at local level in an Agriculture State Council. Federal and State support complement producers investments. The main programs of Alianza para el Campo are: Ferti-irrigation Rural Equipment Mechanization Elementary Technical Improved Seeds Assistance Genetic Improvement Training and Extension Prairies

6 MARKETING SUPPORT PROGRAM FOR GRAINS AND OILSEEDS
SAGAR MARKETING SUPPORT PROGRAM FOR GRAINS AND OILSEEDS The main objectives of this Program are: offset the negative factors that have an effect on the marketing of grains and oilseeds, and support under a selective approach, targeted to products and regions with structural problems. In 1999, marketing support payments, for specific regions, were granted to soybeans, rice, wheat, sorghum, cotton and maize. Marketing supports are allocated through public auctioning. Buyers that requires the lowest subsidy and commits themselves to pay a certain price to the producer receive these supports

7 RISK MANAGEMENT SUPPORT PROGRAM
SAGAR RISK MANAGEMENT SUPPORT PROGRAM The main objective of this program is to support producers expected harvest income, through hedging instruments for management of risks related to the fluctuations in the international prices. The eligible crops for receiving supports for hedging are: MAIZE COTTON WHEAT SORGHUM SOYBEANS

8 THE EXTINTION OF CONASUPO
SAGAR THE EXTINTION OF CONASUPO Since the crop season Spring-Summer 1998/99, CONASUPO ceased to buy corn and beans. In the past, CONASUPO bought to producers at a guarantee price. It operated the warehouses in production and consumption areas, and was in charge of the whole logistics. CONASUPO supplied maize to the “tortilla industry” at subsidized prices. In December of 1998, price controls for “tortillas” were abolished.

9 PRICES OF TORTILLA SAGAR PRICES OF TORTILLA 1996-1999 CURRENT
REAL 1994=100 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 Pesos per Kilo 1996 1997 1998 1999

10 TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE
SAGAR TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE In most production areas, the market has substituted efficiently the role of CONASUPO. The “tortilla producers” have become a Key player in this market. Marketing problems have appeared in those states that generate large surpluses and are far from main consumption areas (especially Sinaloa and Chiapas). Maize of Sinaloa and Chiapas was included in the marketing support Program operated by ASERCA. In Sinaloa, three auctions were made for the Autumn-Winter season. The private sector purchased the total amount for this crop.

11 MARKETING SUPPORTS FOR MAIZE
SAGAR MARKETING SUPPORTS FOR MAIZE ALLOCATED BY ASERCA DIRECT ALLOCATION AUCTION

12 TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE IN CHIAPAS
SAGAR TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE IN CHIAPAS In Chiapas, conditions are more difficult for the development of a free market. Lack of knowledge of marketing instruments (marketing loans, options, futures, etc). Lack of producer organizations with entrepreneurial skills. Deficiencies in railroads and problems in the transport system.

13 CONASUPO´S PURCHASES OF NATIONAL PRODUCTION OF MAIZE
SAGAR CONASUPO´S PURCHASES OF NATIONAL PRODUCTION OF MAIZE SHARE % % % % % 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 Million Tons PURCHASES PRODUCTION

14 TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE IN CHIAPAS
SAGAR TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE IN CHIAPAS Marketing support program was granted through ASERCA to main buyers under an auction system, as well as through direct allocation for firms located in the area. A trust operated by the State Government has purchased a large part of the crop. It is financed by a credit line; it only purchases on account of the interested buyers. SAGAR has designed a program to train producer organizations in marketing and provides some support to induce marketing cooperatives.

15 TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE IN CHIAPAS
SAGAR TRANSITIONAL SCHEMES FOR MAIZE IN CHIAPAS Former CONASUPO infrastructure in the State will be transferred to producers, in a way that enhances the formation of marketing cooperatives. The medium term objective is to create conditions similar of those of Sinaloa. CONASUPO operated 200 warehouses in the State of Chiapas. Under the new scheme only 102 warehouses were enabled by the State Trust. This fact shows that CONASUPO’s infrastructure was larger than strictly necessary. The estimated crop production for this season is 450 thousand tons. So far 350 thousand tons have already been marketed by private purchasers.

16 INTERNATIONAL VS DOMESTIC PRICES OF MAIZE
SAGAR INTERNATIONAL VS DOMESTIC PRICES OF MAIZE INTERNATIONAL VS DOMESTIC PRICES OF MAIZE 200.0 400.0 600.0 800.0 1,000.0 1,200.0 1,400.0 1,600.0 Pesos per Ton CBOT DOMESTIC

17 AUCTION FOR IMPORTS OF MILK POWDER
SAGAR AUCTION FOR IMPORTS OF MILK POWDER Until May of 1999, CONASUPO was the sole importer of milk powder to supply private processors and social programs for low income population. Milk Powder Imported by CONASUPO (Metric Tons) 161,440 135,059 158,941 174,381 148,610 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Source: SECOFI

18 AUCTION FOR IMPORTS OF MILK POWDER
SAGAR AUCTION FOR IMPORTS OF MILK POWDER Since the second half of 1999, import certificates are allocated directly to the final user. The allocation of quotas is based on historical consumption of each firm (for infra-marginal quantities). For complementary requirements, additional import certificates are auctioned. The result of these auction provide information on market conditions. DICONSA is also allowed to import directly milk powder for its social program.


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