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Quantitative Easing & Austrian Economics
I buy bonds to add “money to the economy” Quantitative Easing & Austrian Economics
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↑ Discount Rate Should the Federal Reserve Raise Interest Rates? MS1
Sell Bonds ↓MS => ↑Federal Funds Rate MS1 MD Interest Rate Qty of $ MS2 i2 i1
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Quantity Theory of Money
What: Monetarist Theory which states the quantity of money determines the value of money (inflation) i.e. the primary cause of inflation is the growth of money supply Implication: In long run, ↑ MS has no effect on real GDP ↑ MS only raises price level (inflation) “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon” Milton Friedman Leading Monetarist Economist
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Business Cycle & Monetary Policy
Potential GDP A B C D E Actual and Potential GDP Actual GDP Time Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Publishing. All rights reserved.
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Bernanke Interview Part II
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Bernanke Interview Recap
Bernanke’s Structural Solutions
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Quantitative Easing The Federal Reserve ran out of options
When interest rates hit 0.0% in 2009 The Fed traditionally only controls short term interest rates (currently = 0.0%) Quantitative Easing is an attempt to lower long term interest rates (10-year bond)
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10-Year Gov’t Bond Interest Rate
4.5% 1.8%
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Austrian Economics Friedrich Hayek (1899 – 1992)
Austrian School of Economics Against active Fed Policy Promoted “self regulation” of free market Believed low interest rates led to Malinvestment
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Keynes vs. Hayek
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Cause & Effect of Monetary Policy
Solution: Expansionary Monetary Policy ↓ Discount Rate Buy Bonds => ↑ MS => ↓ Federal Funds Rate Money Market AS/AD Model MS2 i2 LRAS1 Nominal Interest Rate MS1 Price Level SRAS1 Affects AD AD2 P2 Y2 i1 E1 E2 P1 E1 AD1 E2 MD Y1 Real GDP Qty of $
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