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Main Issues of the Foreign Trade Statistics of Turkmenistan

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Presentation on theme: "Main Issues of the Foreign Trade Statistics of Turkmenistan"— Presentation transcript:

1 Main Issues of the Foreign Trade Statistics of Turkmenistan
1. Methodological principles of foreign trade statistics of Turkmenistan (sample survey results) «Mirror statistics» ( trade comparisons between Turkmenistan and Germany) Adaptation of the 1992 Harmonised System to the HS 1996 and HS 2002 versions Forecasting in the foreign trade statistics Future plans 1

2 ESTIMATION OF NON-OBSERVED FOREIGN TRADE
The volume of non-observed goods is determined as the difference between imports/exports of natural persons (V1) (based on the sample survey results) and free imports and exports of natural persons (V2) as follows: V = V1 – V2 , where V1 = q1 х f and V2 = q2 х f V – non-observed imports/exports; q1 –average quantity of imports/exports (based on the sample survey results) per person; q2 – quantity of free imports/exports per person; f – number of persons crossing the border of Turkmenistan (based on the reporting form 1-PG «Report on citizens crossing the border of Turkmenistan» 2

3 «Mirror Statistics» Turkmenistan- Germany in USD thousands
3

4 Future Plans “Mirror Statistics” methodology
Introduction and development of forecasting models in the foreign trade statistics of Turkmenistan Monthly estimates of non-observed imports and exports of Turkmenistan Move to HS 2002 4


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